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April 26 2024 9.46pm

The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)

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View cpfc_chap's Profile cpfc_chap Flag koh samui 27 Jan 20 9.35pm Send a Private Message to cpfc_chap Add cpfc_chap as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

More misrepresentation I am afraid from the usual suspect. It seems that the spirit of his hero has taken over his mind and affected his capacity to tell truth from lies.

The piece from the Irish Times has no connection at all to the IMF report. It was written by a German and offers an analysis of England and the English and why they voted for Brexit. It was offered as another type of opinion on another subject by another German to that which was touted in the right wing press. Not as a counter to it. That was done separately.

I am not an insider at the IMF or a cheerleader for it. If you want to dismiss it's activities and reports as worthless that's fine with me. I think they give a useful picture of where the world is economically, but that at the moment that must be incredibly difficult. If though you believe their previous reports to have had some political motivations (which seems very unlikely to me) and therefore inaccurate, then it must follow that the current one is too.

From my perspective I think there are just too many unknowns for there to be any kind confidence in such a forecast. I see plenty of people talking things up but so many bumps in the road that I think the optimism to be misplaced. The old phrase that bs baffles brains comes to mind.

Only today I heard a US spokesperson suggesting that not only would a trade deal with the USA not be signed off by Congress if we went with Huawei but that they might also apply sanctions. That doesn't sound to me as though our newly won "freedom" has actually set us free to do whatever we want.

You really don't believe that do you?

 

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.35pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Still doesn’t answer who would be responsible for deciding what is true.
Twitter, as an example, has 6000 tweets per second. Are they all to be inspected and the intent behind them judged?

As I said I only have the questions and not the answers.

However they do have some very powerful algorithms that ought to be capable of flagging up trends and then the problems. The answers can be found.

 


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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.38pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by cpfc_chap

You really don't believe that do you?

He certainly did.

What I think is that we will be forced into compliance as they won't accept any kind of compromise.

That shows what kind of trade "deal" we can look forward to.

We are in a weaker position than Oliver Twist requesting some more food from Scrooge.

 


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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.42pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64

Do I have the wrong guy here? [Link]

If so, which German wrote the article?

You are quite right. He isn't actually German himself. He is Nicholas Boyle, Emeritus Schröder Professor of German at the University of Cambridge.

Still quite an authority on Germany and as he lives and works in the UK has an opinion well worth evaluating.

 


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View cpfc_chap's Profile cpfc_chap Flag koh samui 27 Jan 20 9.44pm Send a Private Message to cpfc_chap Add cpfc_chap as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

He certainly did.

What I think is that we will be forced into compliance as they won't accept any kind of compromise.

That shows what kind of trade "deal" we can look forward to.

We are in a weaker position than Oliver Twist requesting some more food from Scrooge.

So you do then? Obama's not in charge anymore....Boris and Trump will sort it out!

 

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View Tim Gypsy Hill '64's Profile Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 27 Jan 20 9.51pm Send a Private Message to Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Add Tim Gypsy Hill '64 as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

You are quite right. He isn't actually German himself. He is Nicholas Boyle, Emeritus Schröder Professor of German at the University of Cambridge.

Still quite an authority on Germany and as he lives and works in the UK has an opinion well worth evaluating.

if you're a Europhile

It's just more remoaner BS.

IMO

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 27 Jan 20 9.58pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

This is what you wrote in response, presumably to Badger's link to the Mail article or my IMF link.

'We have been recently been offered one opinion piece from a European paper on Brexit, which has received widespread coverage in the right wing British press.

Here is another which I wager won't get ANY coverage but is in my view every bit as relevant:-

[Link]'

Well, Badger's link to the Mail's positive opinion piece on Brexit contained within it a reference to the Confederation of British Industry reporting the biggest surge in confidence on record among manufacturers, with companies planning to ramp- up investment.

It also referred to the CBI's report which reported yet another fall in unemployment in the British jobs market.

This is in concert with the IMF's positive predictions for the UK economy for the next two years.

So taken holistically it looks pretty damning for the doom mongering that people like you have been spreading for a considerable time.

So whether you directly linked your reply in response to Badger's link or mine the idea that we are misrepresenting you is curious.

You posted that amusing Irish Times link in reponse to the good news we presented and your post itself is the evidence for that.

The Irish piece predicted hard times for the English after Brexit, whereas the IMF predict an economy doing better than the EU average. For you to state there is no connection is absurd and you posted it as an alternative viewpoint.

As for my viewpoint on the IMF, I already stated my opinions as to their motivations.

I would agree that reality is reality once something has happened and that political and economic predictions are often fused and not entirely honest.

However, this hasn't stopped you has it? I've seen no, 'on one hand and on the other' from you. All we get is undiluted activism so for you to make an argument for balance is truly 'bs baffles brains' manifest.

Regarding the horse trading in negotiations none of that is remarkable and while I look forward to the US deal no one with any sense thinks it's all going to be plain sailing.....But they won't be requiring that we become a part of a superstate.....so there's that.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Jan 2020 10.01pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Teddy Eagle's Profile Teddy Eagle Online Flag 27 Jan 20 10.03pm Send a Private Message to Teddy Eagle Add Teddy Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

As I said I only have the questions and not the answers.

However they do have some very powerful algorithms that ought to be capable of flagging up trends and then the problems. The answers can be found.

But you still haven’t said who would judge the truth or otherwise of messages?

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 27 Jan 20 10.11pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

'Yes some commentators have been banned. Why was that? Not I would suggest because of their political views. Everyone is entitled to hold whatever views they want. No, they have been banned because they broke the rules of the sites they were using. Commercial operators can make whatever rules they like. It's their business and not yours or mine. Don't want to be banned? Stick to the rules. Don't like the rules? Find another site.'

I think I have a certain sympathy with this opinion.

However, not when the social media companies and their payment processors themselves act as a monopoly.

Alternative sites and companies have been effectively shut down by this monopoly.....So if this idea that....'don't like it, just move to another site'...well that isn't in actually a statement that relates to reality.

The social media companies abuse their position.


Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Jan 2020 10.12pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 11.09pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

But you still haven’t said who would judge the truth or otherwise of messages?

Because I don't have the answers!

I don't actually think it would come down to making such judgements. What is true or untrue is often almost impossible to determine with any certainty at the time and only becomes clearer well after an event is over and often not then. We can have an opinion about what is true, but often that's all it ever is.

What I think needs to be rooted out is where stories have been deliberately planted by those with an interest in causing us harm. Genuine discourse between individuals is not an issue. It's the industrial scale propaganda that is then picked up and circulated by those who want the propaganda to be true.

 


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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 11.21pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

I said that the piece in the Irish Times was an interesting and worthwhile read that introduced a new perspective to me. Not that it was covering the same subject as did the piece in the Bild.

The point was that the right wing press picked up the Bild piece and trumpeted it all over their front pages whilst I wagered the Irish Times one would be ignored, because it didn't suit their agendas.

I think the views expressed in the Irish Times make a lot of sense and explain quite well why we have ended in this position. I see some are already going into denial mode but it will take a few years before we know it it proves to be accurate. If Ireland reunifies, as I think now looks inevitable, then the pressure from Scotland will become almost impossible to resist. If the UK breaks up would Wales want to follow Scotland? I wouldn't bet against it. What future then for England? Back into a reformed EU as an associate member I suspect. Probably not in my lifetime though!

 


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View Tim Gypsy Hill '64's Profile Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 27 Jan 20 11.35pm Send a Private Message to Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Add Tim Gypsy Hill '64 as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I said that the piece in the Irish Times was an interesting and worthwhile read that introduced a new perspective to me. Not that it was covering the same subject as did the piece in the Bild.

The point was that the right wing press picked up the Bild piece and trumpeted it all over their front pages whilst I wagered the Irish Times one would be ignored, because it didn't suit their agendas.

I think the views expressed in the Irish Times make a lot of sense and explain quite well why we have ended in this position. I see some are already going into denial mode but it will take a few years before we know it it proves to be accurate. If Ireland reunifies, as I think now looks inevitable, then the pressure from Scotland will become almost impossible to resist. If the UK breaks up would Wales want to follow Scotland? I wouldn't bet against it. What future then for England? Back into a reformed EU as an associate member I suspect. Probably not in my lifetime though!

Not all the press is right wing though. The Guardian could have "trumpeted" the IT story. Or maybe it's just like I said.

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

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