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May 1 2024 5.53pm

2020 US Presidential Election. (LOCKED)

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View Cpfc1861's Profile Cpfc1861 Flag 03 Nov 20 11.59pm Send a Private Message to Cpfc1861 Add Cpfc1861 as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Well done! This is so obviously the true picture that even the conspiracy theorists and alternative reality dwellers will find it hard to deny. Not that will stop them trying of course. Reading some of their comments is like listening to many of the Trump supporters in the USA who say things so far removed reality it takes your breath away.

We aint detached from reality we accept economic sanctions are gonna ultimately hurt people in these countries but we are stopping their potential to be a threat to west which will make them come to the negotiating table ultimately if you keeping bombing your enemies and allow them to keep developing like obama did eventually they will be able to bomb you. Its not conspiracy its common f***ing sense.

 

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jeeagles Flag 04 Nov 20 12.01am

Originally posted by Cpfc1861

So your against financial sanctions to prevent these nations from waging proxy wars and bring them to the negotiating table however carpet bombing iraq syria Libya afganistan is ok with you. Unless of course Trump did it then its evil turn a blind eye when your guys do it.

Edited by Cpfc1861 (03 Nov 2020 10.13pm)

We don't seem to be too far away from a World War 1 scenario in the region. If not worse.

The presidents primary role is to protect America. 3,000 people including 67 Brits died in 9/11. Thats the most amount of brits killed in any attack since WW2. The presidents first duty is to protect Americans.

Unfortunately the people of Syria are pawns, but keeping a lid on the region is going to get increasingly more complicated and will probably take another 50 years to resolve. The biggest mistake the West made was not acting quick enough in Syria due to fears about the public backlash about Iraq which opened the door to Russia. Now we've got a mini world war in a goldfish bowl with unstable States on all sides, plus Russia has troops with combat experience.

With problems in Israel, Jordan, Cyprus, Turkey, Georgia, Iraq, Armenia and Azerbaijan surrounding Syria (either directly or family close) the most important thing is to strengthen relationships with friendly states and keep a lid of everything from exploding.

This is far too complicated to lay solely at Trump's door. The cause and solution is just far too convoluted.

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 04 Nov 20 12.20am

Originally posted by Matov

Its nailed on. And then we will have to put up with all the pricks who cheered Biden on telling us all how opposed to war they are.

All virtue signalling addicts.

Social Media is driving us all insane. And I include myself in that. Messing with our brains.

It's not nailed on really (nor is your automatic acceptable of Trump's attack on voting by mail - a stance he only ever took due to more democrats voting by mail rather than genuine concern) but I agree with your second point. It's easy fall into the same echo chamber mentality that we criticise. In that place, everything from a party or movement to oppose is catastrophised beyond belief, and endless benefit of the doubt is offered to those we feel more of an affinity to.

I recall you doing that over Brexit, saying that you ended friendships over it (I'm for Brexit, but taking that tack is unfortunate). I agree that it's social media that's got us here. The comfort of groupthink becomes more important to people than an objective look at the facts and acknowledging common values (which do exist). People are fed a diet of amped up versions of what they agree with, or what pisses them off (both of which keep them engaged on these platform). 'Shared values' of people with otherwise different outlooks don't get clicks so they are dialed down to the point of invisibility. None of it bears any relation to a genuine real life discussion or interaction.

We're all guilty of it to various extents, as I feel you've acknowledged, but we should routinely prod and poke our own thinking as result, rather than shrug our collective shoulders.

Edited by BlueJay (04 Nov 2020 1.00am)

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 04 Nov 20 12.32am

Looking like a real battle in Florida at present

Trump 49.7%
Biden 49.4%

59% of the vote in

 

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View Cpfc1861's Profile Cpfc1861 Flag 04 Nov 20 12.35am Send a Private Message to Cpfc1861 Add Cpfc1861 as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

Looking like a real battle in Florida at present

Trump 49.7%
Biden 49.4%

59% of the vote in

Thats without the extremely republican north so will be interesting looks like Trump will win Florida but Georgia may flip its certainly interesting.

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 04 Nov 20 12.39am

Originally posted by Cpfc1861

Thats without the extremely republican north so will be interesting looks like Trump will win Florida but Georgia may flip its certainly interesting.

Yes, things can no doubt change dramatically based on which counties results are in first. I notice that the Betfair Florida odds are currently

Trump: 3/10
Biden: 10/3

and so Trump is still currently relatively heavily favoured to win Florida.

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 04 Nov 20 12.51am

Originally posted by BlueJay

Yes, things can no doubt change dramatically based on which counties results are in first. I notice that the Betfair Florida odds are currently

Trump: 3/10
Biden: 10/3

and so Trump is still currently relatively heavily favoured to win Florida.


Update
Trump: 2/13
Biden: 6-1

Florida is looking even better for Trump now. No idea if mail in ballots are being counted in all areas, but apparently Trump is doing better with certain demographics

"Trump is doing way better than '16 in Hispanic and Cuban areas, and better in Black areas. Biden is doing better in older, white areas, but not by as much. "

 

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BlueJay Flag UK 04 Nov 20 1.18am

[Link]


The NY Times tracker has Trump at 95% likelihood to win Florida now, so looks like it's all but in the bag.

 

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View Cpfc1861's Profile Cpfc1861 Flag 04 Nov 20 2.09am Send a Private Message to Cpfc1861 Add Cpfc1861 as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

[Link]


The NY Times tracker has Trump at 95% likelihood to win Florida now, so looks like it's all but in the bag.

Big if true looks like Georgia is going to stay red early leads in certain states expected by biden not looking so good in swing states so its close.

 

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View youngpalacefan111's Profile youngpalacefan111 Flag 04 Nov 20 2.31am Send a Private Message to youngpalacefan111 Add youngpalacefan111 as a friend

Trump odds on to win 8/15, I got in on the action at 6/5.

 

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View Cpfc1861's Profile Cpfc1861 Flag 04 Nov 20 2.55am Send a Private Message to Cpfc1861 Add Cpfc1861 as a friend

Florida staying red New York times needle says Georgia North Carolina staying red also michigan going unexpectedly well for Trump. Texas close Virginia also surprising tilting red Trump surprisingly doing better so far then I thought lead growing in Ohio also.

 

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View davenotamonkey's Profile davenotamonkey Flag 04 Nov 20 3.02am Send a Private Message to davenotamonkey Add davenotamonkey as a friend

So utterly pathetic they won't call FL at this stage. Just because it would give Trump an early boost in a swing state.

 

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