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Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 15 Jul 22 12.30pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

We are, of course, only humble outsiders looking in but I think they seriously thought that the west's power could convince countries like India and China to back away from Russia...and hence most of the G20.

I think that was the serious miscalculation they made. I'm not of the view that they wanted to start a cold war. But having started one they doubled down rather than destroy themselves politically....crabs in a barrel dragging us all down.

I do seriously think it's a case of low quality elites who suffer from group think....we saw it with covid and we see it with the Ukraine.

I don't go with the idea that it's a deliberate plan for the 'reset'. That's another level of design and plan in my view that doesn't require a cold war.

Edited by Stirlingsays (15 Jul 2022 12.12pm)

Then we are left with only two options.

That we are led by utter morons (because it does not require any deal of intelligence to understand that by taking actions that can only push up the price of oil and gas, then you benefit Russia directly whilst at the same time, denying your own exporters a chance to benefit from it).

Or else a machiavellian elite, intent on destroying the very people they are meant to be leading.

Either way, Europe is f***ed. Suspect we will be impacted the least, for a variety of reasons but it is still not good for the UK.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 15 Jul 22 12.40pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Matov

Then we are left with only two options.

That we are led by utter morons (because it does not require any deal of intelligence to understand that by taking actions that can only push up the price of oil and gas, then you benefit Russia directly whilst at the same time, denying your own exporters a chance to benefit from it).

Or else a machiavellian elite, intent on destroying the very people they are meant to be leading.

Either way, Europe is f***ed. Suspect we will be impacted the least, for a variety of reasons but it is still not good for the UK.

I think Europe is f***ed in the short to mid term in relative terms...beyond that it's always hard to say. I think the picture differs for individual countries dependent upon culture, networks and wealth.....For us in the UK (if we don't get nuked), the standard of living will drag the middle class wealth down...well relatively anyway....and the working class will protest and perhaps riot in the UK but food banks and MMT will....at least in the short to mid term suffice. Once the war ends things will improve...but long term we have very real problems as most of us know.

Do I think starvation happens in Europe?....No, for us I see high prices and shortages, in my view starvation is a considerable risk for the third and second world....who will increasingly turn to BRICs because they have the wheat and gas taps.

It's going to get tough this winter wherever we are....Personally I don't think this war will continue past the winter and I'm going for an end by Xmas.....Economically and politically it's too damaging for everybody.....we are playing the game of who can hold their breath under water the longest.....and, in my view, once we drove Russia to China the result was decided.

Low quality elites.

Edited by Stirlingsays (15 Jul 2022 12.49pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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deleted 25 Flag 15 Jul 22 1.20pm

The only way to deal with Putin.

[Link]

 

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deleted 25 Flag 15 Jul 22 1.27pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

That is the best analysis, succinct, objective and undeniably truthful, I have read about Putin's reasoning, morals and worldview.

I hope that the Putin apologists here, who dredge up their attitudes from the murky corners of the web, read it and then ponder long and hard about changing their position.


We’ll thank you.

 

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deleted 25 Flag 15 Jul 22 1.34pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

That is the best analysis, succinct, objective and undeniably truthful, I have read about Putin's reasoning, morals and worldview.

I hope that the Putin apologists here, who dredge up their attitudes from the murky corners of the web, read it and then ponder long and hard about changing their position.

[Link]

Another one if your interested.

Obviously the apologists on here won’t be able to swallow this one either.

 

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View Eaglecoops's Profile Eaglecoops Flag CR3 15 Jul 22 4.04pm Send a Private Message to Eaglecoops Add Eaglecoops as a friend

Originally posted by Vincehair

[Link]

Another one if your interested.

Obviously the apologists on here won’t be able to swallow this one either.

What do you and Wisbech suggest then? Do we provoke a more in depth war or just nuke the hell out of them and hope we do it quickly enough.

When people talk in these terms I’m not sure what a real show of strength is and how far it goes. How do you argue with someone who is just as likely to start a catastrophic war as he is any other course of action.

 

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deleted 25 Flag 15 Jul 22 6.29pm

Originally posted by Eaglecoops

What do you and Wisbech suggest then? Do we provoke a more in depth war or just nuke the hell out of them and hope we do it quickly enough.

When people talk in these terms I’m not sure what a real show of strength is and how far it goes. How do you argue with someone who is just as likely to start a catastrophic war as he is any other course of action.

You have to have to stand up to bully’s, from the people who know him/Russia best. If the west makes out it is afraid that will embolden Putin. He won’t start a fight with NATO because that’s an equal fight

It’s a combination of harder sanctions and heavy weapons so Ukr defend itself, Putin should know by now is unwinnable

 

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deleted 25 Flag 15 Jul 22 6.38pm

Russia targeting civilians because they are trying to pressure Zelensky, in turn face saving for Russian army performance ; they have drastically drawn back their plans - 3 days to take Kyiv ?

30 ammunition bases destroyed by himars since their arrival and now Ruscists resorting to getting recruits from prisons to fight.

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 16 Jul 22 12.13pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Battlefield update:

[Link]

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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deleted 25 Flag 16 Jul 22 1.41pm

 

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deleted 25 Flag 16 Jul 22 10.12pm

Good thread from Finnish parallel perspective

 

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 16 Jul 22 11.54pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Vincehair

You have to have to stand up to bully’s, from the people who know him/Russia best. If the west makes out it is afraid that will embolden Putin. He won’t start a fight with NATO because that’s an equal fight

It’s a combination of harder sanctions and heavy weapons so Ukr defend itself, Putin should know by now is unwinnable

That's right. We have to accept the pain, because it's ultimately the least bad option. Of course, we also need to ensure that those in the Third World, who are not involved but nevertheless impacted, are helped. Which demands more pain from us. The problem is not making the moral case, it's carrying the people with it. As you can tell from the apologists here, that isn't going to be easy.

When you invent "elite" bogeymen and see conspiracies around every corner in places like "The Great Reset", which is actually a 100% positive attempt to co-ordinate international actions on the pressing problems the whole world faces, then your reasoning is so blown that the fundamentals get missed.

When you also believe you are super smart and all the non-expert voices you use as your sources of "information" are too, then, of course, it's us "normies" who are just following the party line we have been fed by the media. They never, ever, stop to reflect that they might be wrong and things that look like ducks, quack like ducks and waddle like ducks are generally ducks.

No, they are not ducks. They are devious Nato designed animatronic models designed to fool the Russians and encourage them to invade Ukraine, just so the west can test its latest war machines. Why accept the simple explanation when a nice juicy conspiracy theory is much more fun.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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