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Cameron responsible for rise of ISIS in Libya

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 14 Sep 16 5.15pm

Originally posted by Henry of Peckham

You can't win in situations like this and it makes clear sense not to get involved in the first place. If you topple a hard line dictator then you just open a can of worms. Who knows what would replace Assad in Syria but it's very unlikely to be stability.

Its the dark issue of diplomacy. Pragmatic reality. Usually there is a very good reason why hardline brutal dictators are in power and last in power. Its because the only thing that keeps the country together is the presence of the biggest b****** at the top.

Libya and Iraq are very good examples of this, because they're really only countries that existed as a result of empire and then 'liberation movements' that established hardline dictators - that more or less deliver security and a reasonable peace or period of relative prosperity (at least for the ruling elite).

However these also tend to be ridiculously corrupt, and positions of power and authority often require 'membership of the elite ruling club', either directly or by buying in.

This tends to mean that a rapid change in government, such as in Libya or Iraq, also results in a sudden role reversal of everyone capable of 'running the country and keeping the lights on' - and they tend to either be murdered, persecuted, convicted or flee the country.

Its the curse of revolutions. You tend to lose the people who make the country work, and replace them with people who only know how to fight (and if you don't find jobs for the revolutionaries you're left with an even worse situation, where you might have 10,000 potential guerrilla fighters, without jobs, in a country they've only recently overthrown.

Everyone thinks its 'quite simple' to run a country - Its not. It requires a lot of special and often arcane knowledge, the kind of which you don't acquire quickly.

Imagine having to reverse engineer the UK Civil Service and Council Service. Something that exists in the minds and knowledge and interactions of some 200.000 people, that touches on every aspect of a country with intimate understanding of how it actually functions (rather than how it should).

No one thinks of these things, because we take them for granted. But just keeping the power on is a monumental undertaking in most nations, require tens of thousands of people, working in unison, with different skill sets, that have been developed and cultivated over the decades or a century of refinement and shared knowledge, that only exists within those people.

 


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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Online Flag 14 Sep 16 6.10pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by topcat

Do you think that mistakes weren’t made, ones that could have been learnt from?

Topping Saddam and Gaddafi (and Assad) may seem like the right thing to do, after all they were/are awful, barbaric regimes. However the mistake is to leave a vacuum where a person or a group replaces them who is as bad as the person just toppled.

The Kurds may well be better off, but the persecution has just moved on to someone else.

Of course there were lots of mistakes. Hindsight is a wonderful thing and everything is obvious in the rear mirror. I reckon many more of our troops died than would have been the case with better decisions. But if you ask me the binary choice, take Saddam out or leave him in power, I'm going to give the same answer.

If there is a chance to remove the cancer you take it. If you leave it the body dies regardless.

But for you and your ideological buddies it's better the devil you know than the one you don't.

Sorry mate, but I look at the long term. Under Saddam it was continual murderous family rule like in Saudi.
Now that country has a future.

Soon IS will be beaten back, as I and others predicted on here over a year ago.... and this country will continue to have its own democracy and children and life expectancy rates will continue to rise.

Whereas you and your ideological bedfellows with your emotional reactions, ' all war-fare bad'....You would have had that not happen because ultimately.....You elect to leave the dictators in power even when the opportunity is there to remove them.

Like I said take your message to Iraq's Kurds. See how welcome your message is there.

 


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View Sportyteacher's Profile Sportyteacher Flag London 14 Sep 16 7.11pm Send a Private Message to Sportyteacher Add Sportyteacher as a friend

Little known fact is that UK ranks second behind USA in terms of global arms industry sales... to such places as Libya; Syria and Iraq whom we've actively sold to in the past.

Makes you feel proud to be British, eh?

 

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View matt_himself's Profile matt_himself Flag Matataland 14 Sep 16 7.29pm Send a Private Message to matt_himself Add matt_himself as a friend

Originally posted by Sportyteacher

Little known fact is that UK ranks second behind USA in terms of global arms industry sales... to such places as Libya; Syria and Iraq whom we've actively sold to in the past.

Makes you feel proud to be British, eh?

Incorrect.

According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Britain was the sixth largest arms exporter behind the US, Russia, China, France and Germany in 2014.

 


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View chris123's Profile chris123 Flag hove actually 14 Sep 16 7.39pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Originally posted by Sportyteacher

Little known fact is that UK ranks second behind USA in terms of global arms industry sales... to such places as Libya; Syria and Iraq whom we've actively sold to in the past.

Makes you feel proud to be British, eh?

My area, so anything on the military or dual use UK strategic export control listings, needs a strategic export licence.

 

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View johnfirewall's Profile johnfirewall Flag 14 Sep 16 7.44pm Send a Private Message to johnfirewall Add johnfirewall as a friend

You previously denied justifying terror on the grounds on Western involvement. Not convinced now.

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Online Flag 14 Sep 16 8.57pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Sportyteacher

Little known fact is that UK ranks second behind USA in terms of global arms industry sales... to such places as Libya; Syria and Iraq whom we've actively sold to in the past.

Makes you feel proud to be British, eh?

What the government does, good or bad, has little impact upon how I feel about my nation.

I'm very proud to be English and then British....then European and then Western.

I realise that I'm very lucky to be born here and have the privileges that come with it. It's partly why I'm protective of them and don't want the left selling them down the river like they wish to.

Anyone regarding those privileges as a right or feels guilty about them has complete freedom to go and change their nationality to whatever they want.

Edited by Stirlingsays (14 Sep 2016 8.59pm)

 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 15 Sep 16 9.42am

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Of course there were lots of mistakes. Hindsight is a wonderful thing and everything is obvious in the rear mirror. I reckon many more of our troops died than would have been the case with better decisions. But if you ask me the binary choice, take Saddam out or leave him in power, I'm going to give the same answer.

If there is a chance to remove the cancer you take it. If you leave it the body dies regardless.

But for you and your ideological buddies it's better the devil you know than the one you don't.

Sorry mate, but I look at the long term. Under Saddam it was continual murderous family rule like in Saudi.
Now that country has a future.

Soon IS will be beaten back, as I and others predicted on here over a year ago.... and this country will continue to have its own democracy and children and life expectancy rates will continue to rise.

Whereas you and your ideological bedfellows with your emotional reactions, ' all war-fare bad'....You would have had that not happen because ultimately.....You elect to leave the dictators in power even when the opportunity is there to remove them.

Like I said take your message to Iraq's Kurds. See how welcome your message is there.

I get where you're coming from, and to an extent that does make sense. But the issue isn't really the removal of Saddam or Gaddaffi from power, its the complete balls up that followed in both cases - Effectively we removed a problem, that was keeping maybe a lot more problems in check.

In terms of the regime change, I don't think that's necessarily the problem, its the total failure to deal with the aftermath that was the collapse of Iraq and Libya, and establish 'a friendly regime' (or at least a secure or stable one).

 


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View dannyh's Profile dannyh Flag wherever I lay my hat....... 15 Sep 16 9.52am Send a Private Message to dannyh Add dannyh as a friend

Originally posted by Sportyteacher

Little known fact is that UK ranks second behind USA in terms of global arms industry sales... to such places as Libya; Syria and Iraq whom we've actively sold to in the past.

Makes you feel proud to be British, eh?

Hmmmm I smell Bullsh1t on the basis that in every conflict, lberation, war or whatever you want to call it, I have been in, I am not fighting against people armed with SA80A1 assault rifle's, or running like fcuk from an L109A1 frag grenade, no I am fighting against people armed to the fcking teeth with Russian made AK's and ammo and Chinese RPG's and mines.

Don't be silly.

Edited by dannyh (15 Sep 2016 9.53am)

 


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.TUX. Flag 15 Sep 16 10.11am

''Britain is now the second biggest arms dealer in the world, official government figures show – with most of the weapons fuelling deadly conflicts in the Middle East.''

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Hoof Hearted 15 Sep 16 10.48am

From time to time when pointless debates like this rage on the Hol... I like to post up the image below.

It reminds us that the place is an absolute sh1thole and has been fought over for millennia by Mad Mahdis and religious zealots as well as crazed dictators.

Watching "Carry On Up The Khyber" is just as much a valid synopsis of life in the Middle East as any news report by Frank Gardner who got shot reporting there and now travels around in a wheelchair.

Blaming stuff on Cameron, or Blair is as futile as having an inquiry into Richard The Lionheart's Crusades and why he didn't defeat Saladin in 1187.

I'm hoping that Kim Jong-Un's nuclear missiles go astray and land smack on the heart of it and finally turn the entire Middle East to rubble (most of it is already anyway).

I can't think of a better solution.

Middle East.jpg Attachment: Middle East.jpg (75.13Kb)

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 15 Sep 16 10.54am

Originally posted by Hoof Hearted

From time to time when pointless debates like this rage on the Hol... I like to post up the image below.

It reminds us that the place is an absolute sh1thole and has been fought over for millennia by Mad Mahdis and religious zealots as well as crazed dictators.

Watching "Carry On Up The Khyber" is just as much a valid synopsis of life in the Middle East as any news report by Frank Gardner who got shot reporting there and now travels around in a wheelchair.

Blaming stuff on Cameron, or Blair is as futile as having an inquiry into Richard The Lionheart's Crusades and why he didn't defeat Saladin in 1187.

I'm hoping that Kim Jong-Un's nuclear missiles go astray and land smack on the heart of it and finally turn the entire Middle East to rubble (most of it is already anyway).

I can't think of a better solution.

A terrible irony of course is that Saddam Hussain's regime and Gaddafi's regime were probably more hated by Al-Qaeda and the Islamists (and had established more or less secular states, which whilst not pro-Western were less Pro-Islamist than most).

 


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