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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 11 Dec 18 11.56am Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

What I am truly struggling to understand is why May ever even considered bringing this to Parliament in the first place. The specifics of that backstop are so ludicrous in terms of effectively making the Uk subservient to whatever the EU wish to impose by their veto over us fully leaving that it was never going to pass in a million years.

A non-starter from the word go.

Now I have very little respect for May on a variety of levels but you do not reach the highest of offices without being calculating. And with regards to this 'deal' the numbers simply never added up.

Throw in reports of the whipping operation that was meant to persuade unruly MP's to support her was surprisingly lax, it seems clear that she never intended for this deal to pass.

Going back to the question of why even bring it to the table in the first place?

Perhaps I see too many Machiavellian undercurrents at pleay here and even being too generous to May but something about this all stinks.

It was a shockingly bad deal and offers the UK nothing other than potential grief. She has no plan B and must know that calling for a second referendum plunges the country into even more chaos.

Maybe a long game here? Wanting to force the Labour Party into committing to a second referendum, then parachuting Johnson in and fighting a new GE on a massive Leave/Remain narrative? Break down the result from June 23rd on a constintuency basis and the result is a massive one for Leave. Again though I could be granting the Tories far too much ability on that one.

But none of makes any conventional political sense. May cannot have genueinly thought she could push this through. Going all Boudecia and proclaiming herself as the champion of a 'No Deal' future makes more sense than her current strategy which is a lose-lose.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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steve1984 11 Dec 18 12.09pm

duplicate post - but what's with this flag thing?

Edited by steve1984 (11 Dec 2018 12.11pm)

 

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steve1984 11 Dec 18 12.09pm

Sorry but this exactly what 2-3,000 people looks like.

Oh and I agree the footage of the opposition march shows about 2-300 people.

Untitled.jpg Attachment: Untitled.jpg (142.97Kb)

 

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steve1984 11 Dec 18 12.14pm

Originally posted by Matov

What I am truly struggling to understand is why May ever even considered bringing this to Parliament in the first place.

What I'm struggling to understand is why Cameron called a referendum without the support of Parliament to deliver on the result.

Is Parliament treasonous or is Cameron incompetent? Who is to blame for the mess? Leavers? Remainers? Parliament?

I think the answer is rather obvious.

PS Nice to see you again Mat. How are things with you and yours?

Edited by steve1984 (11 Dec 2018 12.15pm)

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 11 Dec 18 12.22pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by steve1984

Sorry but this exactly what 2-3,000 people looks like.

Oh and I agree the footage of the opposition march shows about 2-300 people.

If I remember correctly Owen Jones said 1500 people for Robinson and 15,000 against him....even though it wasn't a march about Robinson....but his side made it about that anyway. He also said, 'a few hundred' and spent his time mocking the turn out.

I believe Sargon has proportionally rebuffed that as lies.

I have no idea what the real numbers were but I certainly trust Sargon far more than I trust Jones.


Edited by Stirlingsays (11 Dec 2018 12.25pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Pussay Patrol Flag 11 Dec 18 12.31pm

Originally posted by Matov

What I am truly struggling to understand is why May ever even considered bringing this to Parliament in the first place. The specifics of that backstop are so ludicrous in terms of effectively making the Uk subservient to whatever the EU wish to impose by their veto over us fully leaving that it was never going to pass in a million years.

A non-starter from the word go.

Now I have very little respect for May on a variety of levels but you do not reach the highest of offices without being calculating. And with regards to this 'deal' the numbers simply never added up.

Throw in reports of the whipping operation that was meant to persuade unruly MP's to support her was surprisingly lax, it seems clear that she never intended for this deal to pass.

Going back to the question of why even bring it to the table in the first place?

Perhaps I see too many Machiavellian undercurrents at pleay here and even being too generous to May but something about this all stinks.

It was a shockingly bad deal and offers the UK nothing other than potential grief. She has no plan B and must know that calling for a second referendum plunges the country into even more chaos.

Maybe a long game here? Wanting to force the Labour Party into committing to a second referendum, then parachuting Johnson in and fighting a new GE on a massive Leave/Remain narrative? Break down the result from June 23rd on a constintuency basis and the result is a massive one for Leave. Again though I could be granting the Tories far too much ability on that one.

But none of makes any conventional political sense. May cannot have genueinly thought she could push this through. Going all Boudecia and proclaiming herself as the champion of a 'No Deal' future makes more sense than her current strategy which is a lose-lose.

Brexit in a nutshell

 


Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah

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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 11 Dec 18 12.31pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by steve1984

What I'm struggling to understand is why Cameron called a referendum without the support of Parliament to deliver on the result.

Is Parliament treasonous or is Cameron incompetent? Who is to blame for the mess? Leavers? Remainers? Parliament?

I think the answer is rather obvious.

PS Nice to see you again Mat. How are things with you and yours?

Edited by steve1984 (11 Dec 2018 12.15pm)

Parliament voted by a huge majority to pass the legislation necessary for the referendum to be held. They were aware of the question being asked which was as clear cut and binary as possible. Leave or Remain. Nice and simple along with the promise that the result would be implemented.

The mess lays squarely at the feet of May. She took charge of the entire process. Where I blame the rest of the Tory party, with notable exceptions, is that she should have gone ages ago.

But I cannot comprehend that she ever thought this deal would go through. That is where the twist in all of this lays. Just the reality of her relying on the DUP, and then putting forward a proposal that is their worst fear writ large in terms of Dublin, and in Varadkar the worst possible combination of the person almost wanting to eat himself in delight at rubbing it in, having a veto. Even if she could have somehow got her own rebels on side, hell would freeze over before the DUP voted for it.

The only possible concluision to reach is that she wanted this all to happen. No other logic to it.

(and yes thank you, all is as bon as a bon thing. A fortiutious financial windfall would be the cherry on the cake but I am truly blessed.)


 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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View cryrst's Profile cryrst Flag The garden of England 11 Dec 18 12.39pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Matov

Parliament voted by a huge majority to pass the legislation necessary for the referendum to be held. They were aware of the question being asked which was as clear cut and binary as possible. Leave or Remain. Nice and simple along with the promise that the result would be implemented.

The mess lays squarely at the feet of May. She took charge of the entire process. Where I blame the rest of the Tory party, with notable exceptions, is that she should have gone ages ago.

But I cannot comprehend that she ever thought this deal would go through. That is where the twist in all of this lays. Just the reality of her relying on the DUP, and then putting forward a proposal that is their worst fear writ large in terms of Dublin, and in Varadkar the worst possible combination of the person almost wanting to eat himself in delight at rubbing it in, having a veto. Even if she could have somehow got her own rebels on side, hell would freeze over before the DUP voted for it.

The only possible concluision to reach is that she wanted this all to happen. No other logic to it.

(and yes thank you, all is as bon as a bon thing. A fortiutious financial windfall would be the cherry on the cake but I am truly blessed.)


Yes she wanted it to happen so the eu take notice.
Just by her telling them its not acceptable they palmed her off.
Now they have seen it isnt acceptable they will have to do a better deal.
Look the eu cant suddenly renege on any agreements like a school bully.
The reason we got the minimum is so we can now get more through renegotiating.
Analagy being in reverse that any thing you buy is marked up at the max you will pay
House car tv etc.
Then you haggle down.
This is in reverse so now we haggle up.

 

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steve1984 11 Dec 18 12.57pm

Originally posted by Matov

Parliament voted by a huge majority to pass the legislation necessary for the referendum to be held. They were aware of the question being asked which was as clear cut and binary as possible. Leave or Remain. Nice and simple along with the promise that the result would be implemented.

The whole thing is a mess. I'm sure we can all agree on that. Yes all of your points above are valid but I'm not sure that Parliament agreed that the result would be implemented which is no excuse because the Government did and now the Government should respect the result and implement it.

But we're led to believe that there is no majority in Parliament for a no deal departure.

One other point I should add. The Government didn't do any SWOT analysis before calling the referendum. So they weren't prepared for the threat of Dublin's veto even though it was starring them straight in the face.

Had they identified that threat as they should have done then the binary nature of a no deal departure / remain referendum would have been clear from the start and suitable preparations could have been made.

I voted remain but I'd like to see a no deal departure as that is the only available outcome that respects the referendum result. If the project doom merchants are right then we might decide to rejoin (with Schengen, the Euro and no rebate) and if Boris is right then we'll all be happy bunnies.

However all we're likely to see is the demise of the tory party, a democracy damaged beyond repair and possibly an SNP / Labour coalition run by an old fashioned Marxist. Which despite the fact that lots of people here think I'm a commie, I actually think would be a disaster.

(Happy to hear all is well. I keep my fingers crossed for you re the windfall)

 

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Pussay Patrol Flag 11 Dec 18 12.58pm

Originally posted by cryrst

Yes she wanted it to happen so the eu take notice.
Just by her telling them its not acceptable they palmed her off.
Now they have seen it isnt acceptable they will have to do a better deal.
Look the eu cant suddenly renege on any agreements like a school bully.
The reason we got the minimum is so we can now get more through renegotiating.
Analagy being in reverse that any thing you buy is marked up at the max you will pay
House car tv etc.
Then you haggle down.
This is in reverse so now we haggle up.

It's too late for that now.

Negotiating a deal after we exit will be much harder, when we're drowning in the reality of WTO and economy going down the toilet we'd take anything

 


Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah

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steve1984 11 Dec 18 1.10pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

..but I certainly trust Sargon far more than I trust Jones.


Edited by Stirlingsays (11 Dec 2018 12.25pm)

I have absolutely no idea who Sargon is but I would imagine that the axe he's grinding is equally tangible.

 

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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 11 Dec 18 1.18pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by steve1984

But we're led to believe that there is no majority in Parliament for a no deal departure.

Not sure that matters. Article 50 was voted for by a massive majority and that was not subjective to us leaving with a deal. No Deal is the default position and as such should have, since day one, been the primary fall back position with suitable arrangements made.

We simply have to leave on March 29th, no matter what. Any attempt to mess with that is an absolute betrayal of not only the result on 23/6 but also Parliament.

(and don't cross to much for me. I am sure that a huge lottery win would offer a certain peace of mind but I am also aware of my own defects of character to accept that there could be downsides as well. Better I get off my fat arse and re-engage in the slings and arrows of commercial fortune chasing once more)

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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