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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 20 Oct 19 9.40am

Originally posted by steeleye20

It's quite clear that parliament will not give its approval until all the necessary legislation has been passed.

Well one thing for sure is that even if Boris wins the indicative vote some MPs will still put down wrecking amendments when they debate the actually legislation

Edited by Badger11 (20 Oct 2019 9.40am)

 


One more point

chris123 Flag hove actually 20 Oct 19 9.54am

Originally posted by the silurian

so hes a coward as well as a s***house then?

Not going to be facing his electorate.

 

Spiderman Flag Horsham 20 Oct 19 10.59am

[Link]

Can someone explain why no-one was arrested for this but were when Soubry was called a Nazi?

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 20 Oct 19 11.03am

Originally posted by Badger11

Parliament forcing the PM to do something he didn't want to do. I can't imagine any politician being happy or gracious with that scenario.

Your description is how the government want you to see it, but it isn't true. The PM and government cannot act unlawfully. The Benn Act is the law, and not simply Parliament forcing the PM to do something. This is another episode in the "who is supreme" battle and it's one which Parliament MUST win or our whole system is challenged and down that road lie some very dark places. PMs are not just "any politician". They lead the country and are supposed to do so lawfully and with dignity. Johnson looks like a 5 year old throwing his toys out of his pram because he cannot get his own way. How do you think that looks to the rest of the world/

I said yesterday my feeling was that the EU would sit on the letter and the papers seem to agree. The EU actually wants this deal so they are going to give Boris as much time as possible to get it over the line. Besides there is always the possibility that one of the countries e.g. France has had enough so better to be passive for now and hope the problem goes away.

They won't rush because they have no need to. They will await developments but the signs are that if it comes to the wire they would agree to an extension to avoid a no deal.

The Remainers will complain about how he has done it (unsigned) but I doubt a court will want to take it any further. Last night Donald Tusk acknowledged receipt of the letter and confirmed he understands the request for an extension. When all is said and done that's all the Benn act is about the rest is politics.

That might prove to be true. If legal receipt is acknowledged then the only relevance will be the childish behaviour. The Letwin amendment is what now matters.

On Monday Boris will try to bring his motion again assuming that Bercow allows him. The real surprise for me was the margin of defeat I thought it would be much closer. Boris has his hands full the number of Labour rebels was a lot smaller than predicted and the DUP are holding firm.

I think it will pass, probably after a short extension to enable Parliament to fully scrutinise and amend it. The purpose of the amendments will be to ensure Parliament have sufficient opportunities to be involved at every stage of the detailed negotiations and hold the government's feet to the fire if the fail to keep any of their promises, with extension periods written into it should the negotiations overrun, thus avoiding any possibility of deliberate attempts at another "no deal" crash out. There will almost certainly be an attempt to require the final approval of the people via a confirmatory referendum. I think that will fail but become a major plank in the manifestos of the opposition parties at the forthcoming GE.

Still all to play for.

It is, and for some years yet to come.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 20 Oct 19 11.10am

Originally posted by cryrst

How can that possibly be known to the letter.
There are at least 15 months of negotiations from this deal being approved.
What can be assured in legal terms which would make it acceptable?
Everything is an unknown.

This establishes the framework of those negotiations, what their objectives are and the intended outcomes. Crucially it will specify how much Parliament will be involved and how and when the government negotiators will have to report back to Parliament and seek their approval. It may well write specific requirements into it about what must happen should a problem be encountered. This is Parliament ensuring it has full control.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 20 Oct 19 11.15am

"Your description is how the government want you to see it, but it isn't true. The PM and government cannot act unlawfully. "

No I wasn't talking about the law I was talking about how any person who is forced to do something they don't want to may do so with ill grace. You can call it childish I call it human nature and of course he has to obey the law and I believe he has.

As for Parliament needing time Remainers keep saying that Boris's deal is just the May deal with a few amendments so how much scrutiny does it really need. Parliament passed the Lisbon treaty in 5 days.

But I agree with you even if he wins the vote this will be the first of many as MPs try to block or amend it. Of course it would be ironic if they overplayed their hand and were so successful that they ran out of time because the EU refuses to give an extension.

 


One more point

dynamicdick Flag Dormansland 20 Oct 19 11.22am

Originally posted by Badger11

"Your description is how the government want you to see it, but it isn't true. The PM and government cannot act unlawfully. "

No I wasn't talking about the law I was talking about how any person who is forced to do something they don't want to may do so with ill grace. You can call it childish I call it human nature and of course he has to obey the law and I believe he has.

As for Parliament needing time Remainers keep saying that Boris's deal is just the May deal with a few amendments so how much scrutiny does it really need. Parliament passed the Lisbon treaty in 5 days.

But I agree with you even if he wins the vote this will be the first of many as MPs try to block or amend it. Of course it would be ironic if they overplayed their hand and were so successful that they ran out of time because the EU refuses to give an extension.

So what actually is the difference between the May and Johnson deals?

As for more delays, more Brexit blocking from the remainers which will have a continuing adverse effect on our economy. GET IT DONE!

 


Bring back Brolin

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 20 Oct 19 11.32am

Originally posted by Badger11

Andrew Pearce reckons Boris has the votes I am not sure how he arrived at that conclusion but certainly a number of MPS who voted for Letwin have since said they will vote for the deal.

This all comes down to whether Bercow will allow the motion to be put. A fair minded speaker would acknowledge that the government never actually put their motion to the house and so would allow it, a fair minded speaker that is.

Parliament has an odd way of working yesterday the government wanted the house to vote on a motion Letwin effectively said no you don't want to vote on that vote on this one instead.

PLCs have shareholder meetings all the time. The board puts a motion to award the directors a massive bonus. Rebel shareholders put down a motion to sack the board both motions are voted on. That seems a fairer way of doing it rather than changing somebody else's motion. Yet Another reason to review how Parliament works in its arcane ways.

Edited by Badger11 (20 Oct 2019 9.27am)

The Letwin amendment is now attached and it's requirements must be honoured. That won't stop the bill being debated but Parliamentary approval cannot be given until the withdrawal bill has been passed.

How the speaker decides to handle this has nothing to do with "fairness", but just practicality.

The problem might arise because the same bill cannot be presented 3 times so then timing becomes an important consideration. I am not though very sure about that.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 20 Oct 19 11.44am

Originally posted by Badger11

"Your description is how the government want you to see it, but it isn't true. The PM and government cannot act unlawfully. "

No I wasn't talking about the law I was talking about how any person who is forced to do something they don't want to may do so with ill grace. You can call it childish I call it human nature and of course he has to obey the law and I believe he has.

If he has, and that has yet to be definitively established, then he has acted in an extremely foolish way which demeans the office he holds and makes us the laughing stock of the world.

As for Parliament needing time Remainers keep saying that Boris's deal is just the May deal with a few amendments so how much scrutiny does it really need. Parliament passed the Lisbon treaty in 5 days.

It's like the May deal only in the uncontroversial detail of how much we pay, citizen's rights etc. There are substantive changes to the way regulatory alignment will be negotiated and it's there where Parliament don't trust Johnson to keep his word and want to supervise him.

But I agree with you even if he wins the vote this will be the first of many as MPs try to block or amend it. Of course it would be ironic if they overplayed their hand and were so successful that they ran out of time because the EU refuses to give an extension.

It will be amended. It needs to be amended to make sure no tricks are tried by this dishonourable government. Blocked? I don't think so. There may well be an attempt to force a confirmatory referendum after everything has been concluded but I don't see that succeeding.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

dynamicdick Flag Dormansland 20 Oct 19 11.46am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The Letwin amendment is now attached and it's requirements must be honoured. That won't stop the bill being debated but Parliamentary approval cannot be given until the withdrawal bill has been passed.

How the speaker decides to handle this has nothing to do with "fairness", but just practicality.

The problem might arise because the same bill cannot be presented 3 times so then timing becomes an important consideration. I am not though very sure about that.

When you have a Remain voting and totally biased Speaker in John Bercow the chances of him allowing anything to do with getting the Johnson agreement voted on is akin to finding Rocking Horse s—t.
As I have said previously, everything is against Johnson and shouldn’t be. Keep at it Boris!

 


Bring back Brolin

dynamicdick Flag Dormansland 20 Oct 19 11.50am

NOT a dishonorable Government but the Speaker definitely is. The voice and vote of the 17.4M must be heard and acted upon.
Keep at it Boris!

 


Bring back Brolin

DANGERCLOSE Flag London 20 Oct 19 12.05pm

Originally posted by dynamicdick

NOT a dishonorable Government but the Speaker definitely is. The voice and vote of the 17.4M must be heard and acted upon.
Keep at it Boris!

Agreed

 

elgrande Flag bedford 20 Oct 19 12.15pm

The "Letwin" amendment wasnt his idea.

He was just the stool pigeon.
It was the multi millionaire "Lord" Pannicks QC. amendment.

 


always a Norwood boy, where ever I live.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 20 Oct 19 1.41pm

Originally posted by dynamicdick

When you have a Remain voting and totally biased Speaker in John Bercow the chances of him allowing anything to do with getting the Johnson agreement voted on is akin to finding Rocking Horse s—t.
As I have said previously, everything is against Johnson and shouldn’t be. Keep at it Boris!

The Speaker is just the Speaker. He has rules and conventions to follow. That he defends Parliament's rights against a government trying to railroad it's plans through is exactly what ANY Speaker would do. Unless he is, of course, a stool pigeon of the government.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 20 Oct 19 1.43pm

Not a dishonourable government, you must be joking.

On 'Super Saturday' MPs were presented with the 553 page legal text as the debate started !!!!

No time to study, seek or take advice especially legal, it is a good job Letwin came to the rescue, there is some common sense after all.

 

the silurian Flag The garden of England.(not really) 20 Oct 19 1.45pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The Letwin amendment is now attached and it's requirements must be honoured. That won't stop the bill being debated but Parliamentary approval cannot be given until the withdrawal bill has been passed.

How the speaker decides to handle this has nothing to do with "fairness", but just practicality.

The problem might arise because the same bill cannot be presented 3 times so then timing becomes an important consideration. I am not though very sure about that.

like the referendum result has been honoured you mean?
When has Bercow 'the remainer' 'anything but neutral' been fair, he wants Brexit cancelled and will do anything he can to make that happen.

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 20 Oct 19 1.45pm

Originally posted by elgrande

The "Letwin" amendment wasnt his idea.

He was just the stool pigeon.
It was the multi millionaire "Lord" Pannicks QC. amendment.

That was totally denied by Letwin himself this morning on the Marr show in a fashion that carried total conviction. Lord Pannick assisted with the legal drafting, being an eminent QC. Making sure it is legally watertight makes sense so as no backbencher has access to government lawyers using a QC in the Lords makes perfect sense.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 20 Oct 19 1.57pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The Speaker is just the Speaker. He has rules and conventions to follow. That he defends Parliament's rights against a government trying to railroad it's plans through is exactly what ANY Speaker would do. Unless he is, of course, a stool pigeon of the government.

Bercow is a right wing conservative who became more considered with maturity.

He is just like a referee or umpire, were it not for him parliament would not be the same, just an order processor for the government's business.

When I watch him I get annoyed if he finds against my perspective, just like anybody, but I don't hold that against him.

He is bound to commit a howler sometimes, but very very rarely.


 

Midlands Eagle Flag 20 Oct 19 2.04pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The Speaker is just the Speaker. He has rules and conventions to follow. That he defends Parliament's rights against a government trying to railroad it's plans through is exactly what ANY Speaker would do.

More Wissy Bollox. John Bercow is as unbiased as he is shy and introverted

 

Midlands Eagle Flag 20 Oct 19 2.07pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle


That was totally denied by Letwin himself this morning on the Marr show in a fashion that carried total conviction.

What you really mean is that you believed him therefore it must be the truth. Yet more Wissy bollox

 

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