This page is no longer updated, and is the old forum. For new topics visit the New HOL forum.
Visit the current forum | Forum Rules
| Deleted11 27 Nov 19 12.55pm | |
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
Yes, although national debt from bonds isn’t ‘called up’ at any time because the bonds have a specific lifespan. In 10 years the bond holder is paid by the treasury (government). If you’re talking about reducing the deficit so the increase in borrowing is reduced year n year then yes, you ideally don’t want the debt to forever grow. But with lower and lower interest payments to be made on the bonds, why wouldn't you increase it now? I can see an obvious stall in the appetite of holding bonds, if they don't pay any interest, but it seems reasonable to increase the debt now than ever before.
|
|
| Deleted11 27 Nov 19 1.16pm | |
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
I think on trade until the US deals with China the ultimate conclusions can't be drawn.....Trump can be celebrated for being the one who finally drew the line in the sand. I note that Trump drew more favourable deals with the EU and Mexico.....I don't know what the current trade situation looks like but I note the strength of the US economy. That's really the point here....the predicted disasters that many 'experts' predicted from Trump's tax and trade plans simply haven't happened.....I've been listening to the critical book on Trump, 'Fear'....those predictions simply didn't occur. On Brexit, I think there are both disadvantages and advantages to being outside the EU trading block. Merkel has stated her fears of how the UK can compete and it's a reality that if the EU plays dirty that we can respond dirty as well and make Ireland look like amateurs. I think the reality will be a compromise....I think that's what Boris's deal is and I think that's how the EU/UK relations will start off post Brexit. Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 12.43pm) Maybe I'm too down on him, but imo, Trump either won't get a second term (Which would be most beneficial for him) or he, like most republican presidents will preside over another financial crisis. You'll need to show me how you measure a good economy. The stock market is hitting all time highs, but I'm not sure how that is a sign of a good economy. Yes, he's got unemployment slightly lower than Obama, but the trend was there. He hasn't his the GDP growth Obama managed yet, He is increasing the deficitandx since this is partially a trade chat, his trade deficits compared to Obama's are far worse. Bringing this back to the election here, it's no different than what Farage or Boris or even Corbyn are saying. They can fix everything, but they can't really. I'll need to read the book, but, as with anything relating to policy and economics, in this day and age, I would always advise checking the source of the prediction and then investigating the reasoning on why they have concluded on that prediction and again, back to the election/Brexit, there is no talk about solutions to problems. All I hear are catastrophes from one side and indifference from the other.
|
|
|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
Hearing Corbyn fear monger on the NHS over a US trade deal just smacks of desperation.....and not a little anti American sentiment. Corbyn is entitled to raise the issue but even the BBC has said there is no evidence that ministers agreed anything. These were preliminary talks so naturally both sides will state what they want that doesn't mean they will get it. Now that the noise has ben made I can't see any Tory government agreeing this so to that extent its job done.
One more point |
|
|
Originally posted by Jway89
Maybe I'm too down on him, but imo, Trump either won't get a second term (Which would be most beneficial for him) or he, like most republican presidents will preside over another financial crisis. You'll need to show me how you measure a good economy. The stock market is hitting all time highs, but I'm not sure how that is a sign of a good economy. Yes, he's got unemployment slightly lower than Obama, but the trend was there. He hasn't his the GDP growth Obama managed yet, He is increasing the deficitandx since this is partially a trade chat, his trade deficits compared to Obama's are far worse. Bringing this back to the election here, it's no different than what Farage or Boris or even Corbyn are saying. They can fix everything, but they can't really. I'll need to read the book, but, as with anything relating to policy and economics, in this day and age, I would always advise checking the source of the prediction and then investigating the reasoning on why they have concluded on that prediction and again, back to the election/Brexit, there is no talk about solutions to problems. All I hear are catastrophes from one side and indifference from the other. I think probably the whole Trump and Brexit thing are a bit like the French revolution.....it's too early to tell. In both camps what we have are two very loud megaphones but not a lot of actual data for firm conclusions. Like you say he needs a second term to make defining impacts but then again that's up in the air......I would put it at perhaps 55/45 in his favour. Whoever wins works for me in different senses.....and it's all popcorn.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
|
Originally posted by Badger11
Corbyn is entitled to raise the issue but even the BBC has said there is no evidence that ministers agreed anything. These were preliminary talks so naturally both sides will state what they want that doesn't mean they will get it. Now that the noise has ben made I can't see any Tory government agreeing this so to that extent its job done. I can't see it ever happening anyway.....not in Corbyn's fear mongering narrative anyway. I can see the US making inroads in private provision for sure.....but this idea that 'single payer' is going to be given up is nothing but lies. Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 1.35pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
| Invalid user 2019 |
|
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by Jway89
Maybe I'm too down on him, but imo, Trump either won't get a second term (Which would be most beneficial for him) or he, like most republican presidents will preside over another financial crisis. I'm not even convinced he wants to be President now let alone next term, but it affords him legal protections that he can't really do without anymore, so he'll hang on for grim death. That and to his very core he's about power. It's a toss up election and will be fascinating to see. As for Brexit, when that's over and done with, does it mean we have to go back to talking about the weather? Edited by dollardays (27 Nov 2019 1.39pm)
|
|
|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
I think probably the whole Trump and Brexit thing are a bit like the French revolution.....it's too early to tell.
But the guessing is rather fun.
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
|
|
Originally posted by dollardays
I have to admit, she does remind me of some female English teachers I've met along the way. With her it's mainly about the presentation. She's has that strident feminist style, which doesn't come across well to the normie. Thatcher learnt how to combine a strident and firm nature while still retaining a certain femininity. The activists won't like hearing that of course but that's the reality. Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.19pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
|
Originally posted by dollardays
We said this a couple of weeks ago the more the public know the less they like her. The polls are doing nothing to suggest otherwise. If the Lib Dems had the right leader they could have swept up the Labour Remain vote.
One more point |
|
|
Originally posted by Matov
How very true. I would argue that Trump is probably going to prove far less impactful on history than Brexit but the truth is that none of will be around to find out! But the guessing is rather fun. Trump has been part hilarious, part scary and part incredibly impressive. Like the idiot savant who ends up banging the prom queen......except he isn't an idiot in reality....but you get the gist. It's quite incredible as hardly anyone who knows him likes him. But he's very good at projecting strength and these are uncertain times. No one gave him a chance and he had most of the money and TV ranged against him.....Now he has the money but still only Fox for him. It's compulsive viewing whatever happens. Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.28pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
| W12 27 Nov 19 2.41pm | |
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
Trump has been part hilarious, part scary and part incredibly impressive. Like the idiot savant who ends up banging the prom queen......except he isn't an idiot in reality....but you get the gist. It's quite incredible as hardly anyone who knows him likes him. But he's very good at projecting strength and these are uncertain times. No one gave him a chance and he had most of the money and TV ranged against him.....Now he has the money but still only Fox for him. It's compulsive viewing whatever happens. Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.28pm) Trump has been exceptional in execution of his office in terms of getting important things done and is effectively winning on all fronts at the moment. I just hope we are not in the same "progressive" death spiral of a culture in 5 years time. He may just hold the fort long enough for the entirety of western civilization to come to it's senses.
|
|
|
Originally posted by W12
Trump has been exceptional in execution of his office in terms of getting important things done and is effectively winning on all fronts at the moment. I just hope we are not in the same "progressive" death spiral of a culture in 5 years time. He may just hold the fort long enough for the entirety of western civilization to come to it's senses.
The future is socialist and then....in the US at least...when the penny drops....some sort of civil conflict and probable secession. I just wonder if we will be around to see it.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
The future is socialist and then....in the US at least...when the penny drops....some sort of civil conflict and probable secession. I just wonder if we will be around to see it. These things escalate very quickly.
|
|
| Deleted11 27 Nov 19 4.23pm | |
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by W12
Trump has been exceptional in execution of his office in terms of getting important things done and is effectively winning on all fronts at the moment. I just hope we are not in the same "progressive" death spiral of a culture in 5 years time. He may just hold the fort long enough for the entirety of western civilization to come to it's senses. Proof maybe?
|
|
| W12 27 Nov 19 5.02pm | |
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by Jway89
Proof maybe? Stopping mass immigration (down about 70% I believe)
|
|
| Deleted11 27 Nov 19 8.16pm | |
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by W12
Stopping mass immigration (down about 70% I believe)
With all due respect, that is not proof. Those are soundbites along the lines of 'getting brexit done'. He has appointed justices to the supreme court. Tell me a president who doesnt. Average median income has been rising at about 2% per year since 2011ish. I havent gone too deep into going before, but imagine it was low arounf 2008. He brought some manufacturing jobs back and done something on Nafta and put through tax cuts, which pretty much every republican president does. He has done F all with the china trade deal apart from help his wall street buddies get even richer by tweeting if a deal is likely to be made or not sending the dow up or down. He has done an amazing trade deal with the Saudis though. I hear his new hotel there is going to be amazing. Draining the swamp? I may be wrong here, but is Steve Mnuchin, a former Goldman Sachs banker his head of treasury? Now we may disagree but i would put anyone from GS as being pretty swampy. Black and Latino support? I cant see that happening. Theres only so much Kanye can do. Amazingly enough, there has been no news on the wall. Look we can support whoever we want, but when its blindly done then as a society we have been hoodwinked beyond saving.
|
|
|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
I have to admit, she does remind me of some female English teachers I've met along the way. With her it's mainly about the presentation. She's has that strident feminist style, which doesn't come across well to the normie. Thatcher learnt how to combine a strident and firm nature while still retaining a certain femininity. The activists won't like hearing that of course but that's the reality. Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.19pm)
With Jo Swinson, you have the impression that she would sit you on the naughty step and lecture you for half an hour about being nice and playing fair.
A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers |
|
|
Originally posted by becky
With Jo Swinson, you have the impression that she would sit you on the naughty step and lecture you for half an hour about being nice and playing fair.
I think you nailed the distinction. It certainly explains why Thatcher was so popular with and able to handle all the men in the Conservative party.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
All images and text on this site are copyright © 1999-2025 The Holmesdale Online, unless otherwise stated.
Web Design by Guntrisoft Ltd.