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The Election Thread


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Deleted11 27 Nov 19 12.55pm

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

Yes, although national debt from bonds isn’t ‘called up’ at any time because the bonds have a specific lifespan. In 10 years the bond holder is paid by the treasury (government).

If you’re talking about reducing the deficit so the increase in borrowing is reduced year n year then yes, you ideally don’t want the debt to forever grow.

But with lower and lower interest payments to be made on the bonds, why wouldn't you increase it now?

I can see an obvious stall in the appetite of holding bonds, if they don't pay any interest, but it seems reasonable to increase the debt now than ever before.

 

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Nov 19 12.56pm

Hearing Corbyn fear monger on the NHS over a US trade deal just smacks of desperation.....and not a little anti American sentiment.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Deleted11 27 Nov 19 1.16pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I think on trade until the US deals with China the ultimate conclusions can't be drawn.....Trump can be celebrated for being the one who finally drew the line in the sand.

I note that Trump drew more favourable deals with the EU and Mexico.....I don't know what the current trade situation looks like but I note the strength of the US economy.

That's really the point here....the predicted disasters that many 'experts' predicted from Trump's tax and trade plans simply haven't happened.....I've been listening to the critical book on Trump, 'Fear'....those predictions simply didn't occur.

On Brexit, I think there are both disadvantages and advantages to being outside the EU trading block. Merkel has stated her fears of how the UK can compete and it's a reality that if the EU plays dirty that we can respond dirty as well and make Ireland look like amateurs.

I think the reality will be a compromise....I think that's what Boris's deal is and I think that's how the EU/UK relations will start off post Brexit.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 12.43pm)

Maybe I'm too down on him, but imo, Trump either won't get a second term (Which would be most beneficial for him) or he, like most republican presidents will preside over another financial crisis.

You'll need to show me how you measure a good economy. The stock market is hitting all time highs, but I'm not sure how that is a sign of a good economy. Yes, he's got unemployment slightly lower than Obama, but the trend was there. He hasn't his the GDP growth Obama managed yet, He is increasing the deficitandx since this is partially a trade chat, his trade deficits compared to Obama's are far worse. Bringing this back to the election here, it's no different than what Farage or Boris or even Corbyn are saying. They can fix everything, but they can't really.

I'll need to read the book, but, as with anything relating to policy and economics, in this day and age, I would always advise checking the source of the prediction and then investigating the reasoning on why they have concluded on that prediction and again, back to the election/Brexit, there is no talk about solutions to problems. All I hear are catastrophes from one side and indifference from the other.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 Nov 19 1.25pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Hearing Corbyn fear monger on the NHS over a US trade deal just smacks of desperation.....and not a little anti American sentiment.

Corbyn is entitled to raise the issue but even the BBC has said there is no evidence that ministers agreed anything. These were preliminary talks so naturally both sides will state what they want that doesn't mean they will get it.

Now that the noise has ben made I can't see any Tory government agreeing this so to that extent its job done.

 


One more point

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Nov 19 1.30pm

Originally posted by Jway89

Maybe I'm too down on him, but imo, Trump either won't get a second term (Which would be most beneficial for him) or he, like most republican presidents will preside over another financial crisis.

You'll need to show me how you measure a good economy. The stock market is hitting all time highs, but I'm not sure how that is a sign of a good economy. Yes, he's got unemployment slightly lower than Obama, but the trend was there. He hasn't his the GDP growth Obama managed yet, He is increasing the deficitandx since this is partially a trade chat, his trade deficits compared to Obama's are far worse. Bringing this back to the election here, it's no different than what Farage or Boris or even Corbyn are saying. They can fix everything, but they can't really.

I'll need to read the book, but, as with anything relating to policy and economics, in this day and age, I would always advise checking the source of the prediction and then investigating the reasoning on why they have concluded on that prediction and again, back to the election/Brexit, there is no talk about solutions to problems. All I hear are catastrophes from one side and indifference from the other.

I think probably the whole Trump and Brexit thing are a bit like the French revolution.....it's too early to tell.

In both camps what we have are two very loud megaphones but not a lot of actual data for firm conclusions.

Like you say he needs a second term to make defining impacts but then again that's up in the air......I would put it at perhaps 55/45 in his favour.

Whoever wins works for me in different senses.....and it's all popcorn.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Nov 19 1.34pm

Originally posted by Badger11

Corbyn is entitled to raise the issue but even the BBC has said there is no evidence that ministers agreed anything. These were preliminary talks so naturally both sides will state what they want that doesn't mean they will get it.

Now that the noise has ben made I can't see any Tory government agreeing this so to that extent its job done.

I can't see it ever happening anyway.....not in Corbyn's fear mongering narrative anyway.

I can see the US making inroads in private provision for sure.....but this idea that 'single payer' is going to be given up is nothing but lies.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 1.35pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Invalid user 2019 Flag 27 Nov 19 1.37pm

Originally posted by Jway89

Maybe I'm too down on him, but imo, Trump either won't get a second term (Which would be most beneficial for him) or he, like most republican presidents will preside over another financial crisis.

I'm not even convinced he wants to be President now let alone next term, but it affords him legal protections that he can't really do without anymore, so he'll hang on for grim death. That and to his very core he's about power. It's a toss up election and will be fascinating to see.

As for Brexit, when that's over and done with, does it mean we have to go back to talking about the weather?

Edited by dollardays (27 Nov 2019 1.39pm)

 

Invalid user 2019 Flag 27 Nov 19 1.41pm


Ipsos MORI General Election Campaign tracker - Jo Swinson’s favourability ratings tumble. 50% of GB adults now unfavourable towards Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson – up from 41% a week ago. 49% now unfavourable towards the Lib Dems – up from 42%


I read somewhere that Jo Swinson brings all the energy of a supply teacher . She'd have been better off staying on her bus.

 

Matov Flag 27 Nov 19 2.18pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I think probably the whole Trump and Brexit thing are a bit like the French revolution.....it's too early to tell.


How very true. I would argue that Trump is probably going to prove far less impactful on history than Brexit but the truth is that none of will be around to find out!

But the guessing is rather fun.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Nov 19 2.19pm

Originally posted by dollardays


Ipsos MORI General Election Campaign tracker - Jo Swinson’s favourability ratings tumble. 50% of GB adults now unfavourable towards Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson – up from 41% a week ago. 49% now unfavourable towards the Lib Dems – up from 42%


I read somewhere that Jo Swinson brings all the energy of a supply teacher . She'd have been better off staying on her bus.

I have to admit, she does remind me of some female English teachers I've met along the way.

With her it's mainly about the presentation. She's has that strident feminist style, which doesn't come across well to the normie.

Thatcher learnt how to combine a strident and firm nature while still retaining a certain femininity.

The activists won't like hearing that of course but that's the reality.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.19pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 Nov 19 2.24pm

Originally posted by dollardays


Ipsos MORI General Election Campaign tracker - Jo Swinson’s favourability ratings tumble. 50% of GB adults now unfavourable towards Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson – up from 41% a week ago. 49% now unfavourable towards the Lib Dems – up from 42%


I read somewhere that Jo Swinson brings all the energy of a supply teacher . She'd have been better off staying on her bus.

We said this a couple of weeks ago the more the public know the less they like her. The polls are doing nothing to suggest otherwise.

If the Lib Dems had the right leader they could have swept up the Labour Remain vote.

 


One more point

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Nov 19 2.27pm

Originally posted by Matov

How very true. I would argue that Trump is probably going to prove far less impactful on history than Brexit but the truth is that none of will be around to find out!

But the guessing is rather fun.

Trump has been part hilarious, part scary and part incredibly impressive.

Like the idiot savant who ends up banging the prom queen......except he isn't an idiot in reality....but you get the gist.

It's quite incredible as hardly anyone who knows him likes him. But he's very good at projecting strength and these are uncertain times.

No one gave him a chance and he had most of the money and TV ranged against him.....Now he has the money but still only Fox for him.

It's compulsive viewing whatever happens.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.28pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

W12 27 Nov 19 2.41pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Trump has been part hilarious, part scary and part incredibly impressive.

Like the idiot savant who ends up banging the prom queen......except he isn't an idiot in reality....but you get the gist.

It's quite incredible as hardly anyone who knows him likes him. But he's very good at projecting strength and these are uncertain times.

No one gave him a chance and he had most of the money and TV ranged against him.....Now he has the money but still only Fox for him.

It's compulsive viewing whatever happens.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.28pm)

Trump has been exceptional in execution of his office in terms of getting important things done and is effectively winning on all fronts at the moment. I just hope we are not in the same "progressive" death spiral of a culture in 5 years time. He may just hold the fort long enough for the entirety of western civilization to come to it's senses.

 

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Nov 19 2.53pm

Originally posted by W12

Trump has been exceptional in execution of his office in terms of getting important things done and is effectively winning on all fronts at the moment. I just hope we are not in the same "progressive" death spiral of a culture in 5 years time. He may just hold the fort long enough for the entirety of western civilization to come to it's senses.


Yep, but I see no 'coming to its senses'.

The future is socialist and then....in the US at least...when the penny drops....some sort of civil conflict and probable secession.

I just wonder if we will be around to see it.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

sickboy Flag Deal or Croydon 27 Nov 19 3.41pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays


Yep, but I see no 'coming to its senses'.

The future is socialist and then....in the US at least...when the penny drops....some sort of civil conflict and probable secession.

I just wonder if we will be around to see it.

These things escalate very quickly.

 

Deleted11 27 Nov 19 4.23pm

Originally posted by W12

Trump has been exceptional in execution of his office in terms of getting important things done and is effectively winning on all fronts at the moment. I just hope we are not in the same "progressive" death spiral of a culture in 5 years time. He may just hold the fort long enough for the entirety of western civilization to come to it's senses.

Proof maybe?
Should be able to jot down 5 things pretty easily.

 

W12 27 Nov 19 5.02pm

Originally posted by Jway89

Proof maybe?
Should be able to jot down 5 things pretty easily.

Stopping mass immigration (down about 70% I believe)
Bringing manufacturing back to the US
Starting address the issue of Chinese expansion and copyright theft - tariffs are working
Reducing unemployment especially in the rust belt (those left behind by globalism)
Increasing wages
Literally draining the swamp e.g. replacing justices with non globalists/leftists - I think this is going to be a feature of 2020 as people will start to get arrested for election interference and perhaps even treason
Massively Improved engagement and support with black and hispanic demographics


You will here little or none of these in the legacy media

 

Deleted11 27 Nov 19 8.16pm

Originally posted by W12

Stopping mass immigration (down about 70% I believe)
Bringing manufacturing back to the US
Starting address the issue of Chinese expansion and copyright theft - tariffs are working
Reducing unemployment especially in the rust belt (those left behind by globalism)
Increasing wages
Literally draining the swamp e.g. replacing justices with non globalists/leftists - I think this is going to be a feature of 2020 as people will start to get arrested for election interference and perhaps even treason
Massively Improved engagement and support with black and hispanic demographics


You will here little or none of these in the legacy media

With all due respect, that is not proof. Those are soundbites along the lines of 'getting brexit done'. He has appointed justices to the supreme court. Tell me a president who doesnt.

Average median income has been rising at about 2% per year since 2011ish. I havent gone too deep into going before, but imagine it was low arounf 2008.
Migration to the US has gone up on 5 charts ive looked at including the govs own charts.

He brought some manufacturing jobs back and done something on Nafta and put through tax cuts, which pretty much every republican president does.

He has done F all with the china trade deal apart from help his wall street buddies get even richer by tweeting if a deal is likely to be made or not sending the dow up or down. He has done an amazing trade deal with the Saudis though. I hear his new hotel there is going to be amazing.

Draining the swamp? I may be wrong here, but is Steve Mnuchin, a former Goldman Sachs banker his head of treasury? Now we may disagree but i would put anyone from GS as being pretty swampy.

Black and Latino support? I cant see that happening. Theres only so much Kanye can do.

Amazingly enough, there has been no news on the wall.

Look we can support whoever we want, but when its blindly done then as a society we have been hoodwinked beyond saving.

 

becky Flag over the moon 27 Nov 19 9.34pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I have to admit, she does remind me of some female English teachers I've met along the way.

With her it's mainly about the presentation. She's has that strident feminist style, which doesn't come across well to the normie.

Thatcher learnt how to combine a strident and firm nature while still retaining a certain femininity.

The activists won't like hearing that of course but that's the reality.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Nov 2019 2.19pm)


With Thatcher,you had the impression that if you misbehaved, she would take your trousers down and give you a jolly good spanking.

With Jo Swinson, you have the impression that she would sit you on the naughty step and lecture you for half an hour about being nice and playing fair.


 


A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Nov 19 9.37pm

Originally posted by becky


With Thatcher,you had the impression that if you misbehaved, she would take your trousers down and give you a jolly good spanking.

With Jo Swinson, you have the impression that she would sit you on the naughty step and lecture you for half an hour about being nice and playing fair.


I think you nailed the distinction.

It certainly explains why Thatcher was so popular with and able to handle all the men in the Conservative party.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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