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April 27 2024 9.15pm

The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)

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View Mapletree's Profile Mapletree Flag Croydon 04 Aug 19 11.32pm Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

In the end Parliament won’t allow a no deal Brexit. Maybe Johnson can get a slightly different deal than May and drive it through. Or go to the country to get a mandate for a no deal Brexit but that would be a huge risk for him.

 

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deleted user Flag 04 Aug 19 11.48pm

Originally posted by Mapletree

In the end Parliament won’t allow a no deal Brexit. Maybe Johnson can get a slightly different deal than May and drive it through. Or go to the country to get a mandate for a no deal Brexit but that would be a huge risk for him.

Not an unlikely scenario. I've always thought that we may end up with an outcome that pleases no one.

 

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View DANGERCLOSE's Profile DANGERCLOSE Flag london 05 Aug 19 10.01am Send a Private Message to DANGERCLOSE Add DANGERCLOSE as a friend

 

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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 05 Aug 19 10.08am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Would that be 3.5m per week on top of the 350m per week that Mrs May already committed to? But hang on we haven't left the EU yet.

 


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View topcat's Profile topcat Flag Holmesdale / Surbiton 05 Aug 19 10.15am Send a Private Message to topcat Add topcat as a friend

Originally posted by dollardays

Not an unlikely scenario. I've always thought that we may end up with an outcome that pleases no one.

Whatever the outcome the majority will be unhappy although I suspect a few will make a (financial) killing in ways that I can't comprehend.

 


It's 106 miles to Chicago, we got a full tank of gas, half a pack of cigarettes, it's dark... and we're wearing sunglasses.

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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 05 Aug 19 1.09pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

In the end Parliament won’t allow a no deal Brexit. Maybe Johnson can get a slightly different deal than May and drive it through. Or go to the country to get a mandate for a no deal Brexit but that would be a huge risk for him.


Johnson is a historian. His mindset will be focused on notions of legacy and I suspect will take the risk. He has no choice.

He won't wait for a vote of confidence. He will force the issue within the first 10 days of September. Parliament will be offered a choice of either revoking A50 or backing him in his 'No Deal' plan. Defining the narrative on those terms.

Key to this is seeing how Labour react. Forget the Lib-Dems. All froth and piss.

I would put the chances of an October election at 90% now. The only outlier being a potential Labour back-bench rebellion in favour of a no-deal Brexit. Lot of MP's up North looking over their shoulders.


 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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View dannyboy1978's Profile dannyboy1978 Flag 05 Aug 19 2.25pm Send a Private Message to dannyboy1978 Add dannyboy1978 as a friend

And what if someone from the brexit party said the same about foreigners?
BBC News - Jon Snow and Nigel Farage cleared by Ofcom over Brexit rally remarks
[Link]

We all know the answer

 

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View Spiderman's Profile Spiderman Flag Horsham 05 Aug 19 4.11pm Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by dannyboy1978

And what if someone from the brexit party said the same about foreigners?
BBC News - Jon Snow and Nigel Farage cleared by Ofcom over Brexit rally remarks
[Link]

We all know the answer

Yes we do. Jon Snow is one of the most condescending ar**s on TV. Hate the bloke

 

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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 06 Aug 19 7.31am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

The EU is standing firm and will not renegotiate the backstop or re-open the deal.

[Link]

I hope the media start to challenge those MPs who say they respect the referendum result but voted against May's deal because they believe they can do better e.g. Corbyn. The question that needs to be asked is what is your position if the EU continue to refuse to negotiate?

It's all well and good to be against a no deal Brexit but if the other side won't negotiate then your position becomes illogical. This is where I hope Boris brings pressure to bear if these MP's are genuine then the logical thing is to reluctantly accept the no deal as a reality.

Or are they just full of BS because they really don't want to leave.

 


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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 06 Aug 19 9.30am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Just heard some belligerent German Eurocrat on the radio they are not for budging.

The EU would rather have a no deal which will hurt their people than remove the backstop which wont actually impact the lives of their citizens.

This is all about preserving the European dream rather then what is best for the economies of the EU.

As Neil Kinnock said of Arthur Scargill during the miners strike "you can't negotiate with someone who won't negotiate."

Hold your nerve Boris they may not blink but neither should you.

 


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View steeleye20's Profile steeleye20 Flag Croydon 06 Aug 19 9.57am Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

What trade deal could the UK get with the USA or EU with the pound deteriorating to the floor.

It was the pounds weakness that put paid to Eden's delusion over Suez.

The pound would have to be raised but it has not been deliberately weakened to gain economic advantage, it is where it is because the World thinks so little of the UKs future.

 

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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 06 Aug 19 10.14am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

What trade deal could the UK get with the USA or EU with the pound deteriorating to the floor.

It was the pounds weakness that put paid to Eden's delusion over Suez.

The pound would have to be raised but it has not been deliberately weakened to gain economic advantage, it is where it is because the World thinks so little of the UKs future.

Or because currency speculators see a quick buck e.g. George Soros driving the pound out of the ERM.

The pound is weak because of uncertainty which the markets hate. Let's see what happens after we have left before we start writing our obituary.

 


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