Relegation 22/23

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Crystal_Clear Belfast 09 Apr 23 5.09pm
Another win against Southampton next weekend and we could start to look up the table again instead of down. That took me to looking whether we could possibly overhaul Chelsea. They have to play Brighton Man Utd arsenal Brentford Bournemouth Forest City I would only Forest is the game that they likely to win. Imagine if we could finish above them !!!! They could easily lose to Brighton, Utd, Arsenal, Brentford and City.
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Crystal_Clear

Belfast 09 Apr 23 5.09pm

Another win against Southampton next weekend and we could start to look up the table again instead of down.

That took me to looking whether we could possibly overhaul Chelsea.

They have to play

Brighton
Man Utd
arsenal
Brentford
Bournemouth
Forest
City

I would only Forest is the game that they likely to win.

Imagine if we could finish above them !!!!

They could easily lose to Brighton, Utd, Arsenal, Brentford and City.

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kingdowieonthewall Sussex, ex-Cronx. 09 Apr 23 6.47pm
Originally posted by silvertop Pretty close to ruling us out of the running I agree, but I remember a few classic cock ups & some avoidable relegations (that celebratory lap of the pitch only to be caught by Oldham?) Im optimistic itll be more of the same next week, 3pts, which will be (nearly) job done. COYP Kids,tired of being bothered by your pesky parents? Then leave home, get a job & pay your own bills, while you still know everything.
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kingdowieonthewall

Sussex, ex-Cronx. 09 Apr 23 6.47pm

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Originally posted by silvertop

Pretty close to ruling us out of the running

I agree, but I remember a few classic cock ups & some avoidable relegations
(that celebratory lap of the pitch only to be caught by Oldham?)
Im optimistic itll be more of the same next week, 3pts, which will be (nearly) job done.
COYP

Kids,tired of being bothered by your pesky parents?
Then leave home, get a job & pay your own bills, while you still know everything.

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stancummins 09 Apr 23 7.32pm
if anybody wishes to waste some money you can get 150/1 about us being relegated with betfair or 888
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stancummins

09 Apr 23 7.32pm

if anybody wishes to waste some money you can get 150/1 about us being relegated with betfair or 888

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SwordFish Peasmarsh,East Sussex 09 Apr 23 7.32pm
We mustn’t get ahead of ourselves but obviously we look a lot safer now , and if anyone has any doubts then back us at 33/1 for relegation and will soften the blow We ain’t going down now “This is a crisis, a large crisis.... in fact if you have a moment, it’s a 12 storey crisis, magnificent entrance hall, carpeting throughout, 24 hour portage , and an enormous sign on the roof saying “This , is a large crisis” - Edmund Blackadder
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SwordFish

Peasmarsh,East Sussex 09 Apr 23 7.32pm

We mustn’t get ahead of ourselves but obviously we look a lot safer now , and if anyone has any doubts then back us at 33/1 for relegation and will soften the blow

We ain’t going down now

“This is a crisis, a large crisis.... in fact if you have a moment, it’s a 12 storey crisis, magnificent entrance hall, carpeting throughout, 24 hour portage , and an enormous sign on the roof saying “This , is a large crisis” - Edmund Blackadder

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SwordFish Peasmarsh,East Sussex 09 Apr 23 7.33pm
Originally posted by stancummins if anybody wishes to waste some money you can get 150/1 about us being relegated with betfair or 888 33/1 is highest I’ve seen? And I work for bookmakers 150/1 would be mental Update I have indeed seen you are correct , Edited by SwordFish (09 Apr 2023 7.35pm) “This is a crisis, a large crisis.... in fact if you have a moment, it’s a 12 storey crisis, magnificent entrance hall, carpeting throughout, 24 hour portage , and an enormous sign on the roof saying “This , is a large crisis” - Edmund Blackadder
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SwordFish

Peasmarsh,East Sussex 09 Apr 23 7.33pm

Originally posted by stancummins

if anybody wishes to waste some money you can get 150/1 about us being relegated with betfair or 888

33/1 is highest I’ve seen? And I work for bookmakers 150/1 would be mental

Update I have indeed seen you are correct ,

Edited by SwordFish (09 Apr 2023 7.35pm)

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SwordFish Peasmarsh,East Sussex 09 Apr 23 7.34pm
Originally posted by stancummins if anybody wishes to waste some money you can get 150/1 about us being relegated with betfair or 888 Jesus Christ your right!!! “This is a crisis, a large crisis.... in fact if you have a moment, it’s a 12 storey crisis, magnificent entrance hall, carpeting throughout, 24 hour portage , and an enormous sign on the roof saying “This , is a large crisis” - Edmund Blackadder
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SwordFish

Peasmarsh,East Sussex 09 Apr 23 7.34pm

Originally posted by stancummins

if anybody wishes to waste some money you can get 150/1 about us being relegated with betfair or 888

Jesus Christ your right!!!

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mtp1958 Grays 09 Apr 23 7.44pm
I had 25s weeks ago but only used free bets , I never enjoyed watching my bet going down so much , wife didn't have same view hehe
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mtp1958

Grays 09 Apr 23 7.44pm

I had 25s weeks ago but only used free bets , I never enjoyed watching my bet going down so much , wife didn't have same view hehe

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derfes upper norwood 09 Apr 23 7.45pm
after that performance , i believe we won't be relegated. i think this season is a 35 point relegation escape target season(maybe it looked like a 40 in october/november, but not now) we already have 33 points We have: Southampton: Expected 1.31 Everton: Expected 1.85 Wolves: Expected 1.37 West Ham: Expected 1.57 Spurs: Expected 1.00 Bournemouth: Expected 1.90 Fulham: Expected 1.33 Forest: Expected 2.04 Total expected points 12.37 Total points needed: 2 I just don't see a path to relegation. Take our last two games Leeds: Expected:1.14 Leicester: Expected:1.42 Total expected points:2.56 Total Real Points:6 so while 45 points is a central guess atm( with a possible improvement given recent overperformance) i don't see any world in which Oldham-eque events happen( we have a GD of -11 , the teams in relegation places have GDs closer to -30)
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derfes

upper norwood 09 Apr 23 7.45pm

after that performance , i believe we won't be relegated.

i think this season is a 35 point relegation escape target season(maybe it looked like a 40 in october/november, but not now)
we already have 33 points
We have:
Southampton: Expected 1.31
Everton: Expected 1.85
Wolves: Expected 1.37
West Ham: Expected 1.57
Spurs: Expected 1.00
Bournemouth: Expected 1.90
Fulham: Expected 1.33
Forest: Expected 2.04

Total expected points 12.37
Total points needed: 2

I just don't see a path to relegation.

Take our last two games
Leeds: Expected:1.14
Leicester: Expected:1.42

Total expected points:2.56
Total Real Points:6

so while 45 points is a central guess atm( with a possible improvement given recent overperformance) i don't see any world in which Oldham-eque events happen( we have a GD of -11 , the teams in relegation places have GDs closer to -30)

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mtp1958 Grays 09 Apr 23 8.13pm
Originally posted by derfes after that performance , i believe we won't be relegated. i think this season is a 35 point relegation escape target season(maybe it looked like a 40 in october/november, but not now) we already have 33 points We have: Southampton: Expected 1.31 Everton: Expected 1.85 Wolves: Expected 1.37 West Ham: Expected 1.57 Spurs: Expected 1.00 Bournemouth: Expected 1.90 Fulham: Expected 1.33 Forest: Expected 2.04 Total expected points 12.37 Total points needed: 2 I just don't see a path to relegation. Take our last two games Leeds: Expected:1.14 Leicester: Expected:1.42 Total expected points:2.56 Total Real Points:6 so while 45 points is a central guess atm( with a possible improvement given recent overperformance) i don't see any world in which Oldham-eque events happen( we have a GD of -11 , the teams in relegation places have GDs closer to -30) you really need to get out more
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mtp1958

Grays 09 Apr 23 8.13pm

Originally posted by derfes

after that performance , i believe we won't be relegated.

Total expected points 12.37
Total points needed: 2

I just don't see a path to relegation.

Take our last two games
Leeds: Expected:1.14
Leicester: Expected:1.42

Total expected points:2.56
Total Real Points:6

you really need to get out more

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stancummins 09 Apr 23 8.14pm
with our goal difference 1 more win will be more than enough
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stancummins

09 Apr 23 8.14pm

with our goal difference 1 more win will be more than enough

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silvertop Portishead 09 Apr 23 8.15pm
Originally posted by derfes after that performance , i believe we won't be relegated. i think this season is a 35 point relegation escape target season(maybe it looked like a 40 in october/november, but not now) we already have 33 points We have: Southampton: Expected 1.31 Everton: Expected 1.85 Wolves: Expected 1.37 West Ham: Expected 1.57 Spurs: Expected 1.00 Bournemouth: Expected 1.90 Fulham: Expected 1.33 Forest: Expected 2.04 Total expected points 12.37 Total points needed: 2 I just don't see a path to relegation. Take our last two games Leeds: Expected:1.14 Leicester: Expected:1.42 Total expected points:2.56 Total Real Points:6 so while 45 points is a central guess atm( with a possible improvement given recent overperformance) i don't see any world in which Oldham-eque events happen( we have a GD of -11 , the teams in relegation places have GDs closer to -30) 2 weeks ago we would never have got evens Spurs away.
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silvertop

Portishead 09 Apr 23 8.15pm