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April 30 2024 8.15pm

Coronavirus and the impact of Lockdown policy

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View Teddy Eagle's Profile Teddy Eagle Flag 08 Mar 23 4.39pm Send a Private Message to Teddy Eagle Add Teddy Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I would expect the book and its arguments to be considered by the enquiry. There is a lot to be learned, so any mistakes can be identified and prepared for the next time. There will have been mistakes. There always will be. It's those who seem to believe that, just because something they believed at the time may yet be found to be better in the future, this proves everything they believe must also be true, that are being pre-emptive.

Patience, as with so many long-winded enquiries, is needed.


Current estimates of the cost of Government measures announced so far range from about £310 to £410 billion. This is the equivalent of about £4,600 to £6,100 per person in the UK.


[Link]


 

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View cryrst's Profile cryrst Flag The garden of England 08 Mar 23 4.47pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle


Current estimates of the cost of Government measures announced so far range from about £310 to £410 billion. This is the equivalent of about £4,600 to £6,100 per person in the UK.


[Link]


Quite lucky that the tories saved for that rainy day really.
Imagine labour were in for ten years. No dough, taxes up and still locked down

 

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 08 Mar 23 11.48pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle


Current estimates of the cost of Government measures announced so far range from about £310 to £410 billion. This is the equivalent of about £4,600 to £6,100 per person in the UK.


[Link]


Any pandemic is going to cost society. What we don't know, and will never know, is what the cost would have been had we not taken the measures we did.

Some people assume it would be less, but their assumptions always just discount the cost of the measures taken, and never try to estimate the costs that would have accrued elsewhere. The most important of which would likely have been many more deaths. How do you value a life? There would though have been other, unforeseen costs that would quickly accrue. We could have had the economy grind to a halt with sickness and hospitals overwhelmed. We didn't know.

When the pandemic struck the people expected and needed a response. Sitting back and telling them don't worry, you will all get it, some of you will die, but we don't actually know how many, and in a year or so we might have some vaccines ready, wasn't going to satisfy anyone, except the political fundamentalists on the right.

So we acted. We supported people's well-being by showing them something was being done. Keeping the nation onside was important. It wasn't just medical scientists advising government, it was behavioural ones too.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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View Teddy Eagle's Profile Teddy Eagle Flag 08 Mar 23 11.59pm Send a Private Message to Teddy Eagle Add Teddy Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Any pandemic is going to cost society. What we don't know, and will never know, is what the cost would have been had we not taken the measures we did.

Some people assume it would be less, but their assumptions always just discount the cost of the measures taken, and never try to estimate the costs that would have accrued elsewhere. The most important of which would likely have been many more deaths. How do you value a life? There would though have been other, unforeseen costs that would quickly accrue. We could have had the economy grind to a halt with sickness and hospitals overwhelmed. We didn't know.

When the pandemic struck the people expected and needed a response. Sitting back and telling them don't worry, you will all get it, some of you will die, but we don't actually know how many, and in a year or so we might have some vaccines ready, wasn't going to satisfy anyone, except the political fundamentalists on the right.

So we acted. We supported people's well-being by showing them something was being done. Keeping the nation onside was important. It wasn't just medical scientists advising government, it was behavioural ones too.

Just bad luck for all the kids who've had their education interrupted for months at a time that they're going to inherit the debt.

 

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View Tim Gypsy Hill '64's Profile Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 09 Mar 23 12.38am Send a Private Message to Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Add Tim Gypsy Hill '64 as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Seems that way doesn't it.

I'll have to join the Lotus Eaters at some point....want to watch that Dan bloke's series on the current economics.

It's podcast's mainly, but Dan Tubb can be heard elsewhere too. Try [Link] for starters. He's a bitcoiner, so if you don't agree with that bent, he's not for you.

edit: it is a sponsored vlog, so starts with a promo I'm afraid...

Edited by Tim Gypsy Hill '64 (09 Mar 2023 12.42am)

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 09 Mar 23 4.33am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64

It's podcast's mainly, but Dan Tubb can be heard elsewhere too. Try [Link] for starters. He's a bitcoiner, so if you don't agree with that bent, he's not for you.

edit: it is a sponsored vlog, so starts with a promo I'm afraid...

Edited by Tim Gypsy Hill '64 (09 Mar 2023 12.42am)

Cheers Tim, I'll check it out.

I invested a grand in Eth, mainly out of curiosity, so I occasionally have a peek.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 09 Mar 23 4.44am Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by berlinpalace

“Indeed, for children, COVID-19 is less dangerous than many other harms, including influenza. “
It was dangerous nonsense then and it still is now.
‘Dr. Suchitra Rao, with infectious diseases at Children’s Hospital Colorado, was lead author on the research.

“One of the risk groups that we identified was actually children under the age of 5,” Dr. Rao noted. “Heart inflammation is something that can be quite severe in children.”

The research also revealed that long COVID is less frequent in children than adults. However, long COVID symptoms and conditions are sending children to the hospital at higher rates than the initial virus infection.

Next, Dr. Rao hopes to study if COVID-19 vaccines might help prevent or lesson long COVID symptoms.

“We’re starting to see some evidence that it can be helpful in the prevention of long COVID in adults,” Rao said.

Allen was not vaccinated against COVID-19 when he got sick. Other international research found long COVID shows up in as many as 1 in 10 children. In adults, it can be as high as 1 in 3.’

I’m sure all the thousands of kids suffering with Long Covid will be fine knowing they were sacrificed on the altar of ideological purity. But never mind, just a bit of ‘flu.

The thing that really pisses me off is that pandemic preparation was supposed to be above party politics. Everyone knew something like this was coming and plans should’ve been in place. There’s departments that do this. But all of a sudden we get a bunch of mouthy muppets who think they know better and f*** it up for everyone. I don’t really give a f*** what the US does, the UK’s response was a f***ing shambles partly thanks to bs like the GBD.

Two points about this post.

The idea that doctors know the long term affects of either covid or these vaccines on children is more than just a stretch: they don't and can't.

What is known is that for healthy children covid was never a life threatening virus though as stated long term nothing can be certain.

Personally I just don't understand how, that once the severity of this virus was known for children, people would vaccinate children...with the exception of those children known to be immune weak. Our medical board had to be told to pass this advice because they initially refused.

The second point: you may regard the spending of more money that this country spent on world war 2 on combating a virus that mainly threatened people over seventy at a 1 in 20 rate for death as justified at its very height......sure there are other effects but that's across the board and it seems that the vaccines don't make a difference on them anyway.

I think it's insane.

I want to push back against this idea that when a new virus turns up that we can just throw money at it and suffer no cost. Ultimately the fault for this virus doesn't reside here, with our government or even our mad policy makers, it resides with the Chinese and probably dubious mistakes the Americans made with funding.

My point is that this virus was always going to kill and harm people, the question was always how much money can effectively be spent combating it without causing more harm down the line. I stated this position at the time as many others did and more are doing today.

This country is now incredibly vulnerable economically. If something like the black death turned up now....something that actually killed 1 in 3 we would have no financial recourse because the insane have been running things.

The spending of all that money made very little difference to the outcomes. The excess deaths that are happening now are a direct consequence of the hubris of those who think that throwing money at something can suddenly control and change the effects of nature. Not when it comes to these kind of airborn viruses anyway.

God save us from the over confidence and hubris of control freaks with other people's money.


Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Mar 2023 5.28am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Mar 23 8.50am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Just bad luck for all the kids who've had their education interrupted for months at a time that they're going to inherit the debt.

It was, but as a cohort they will recover.

Every generation has challenges. I was born during WW2 and my generation had the costs of that to cope with. We have done OK, haven't we?

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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View Teddy Eagle's Profile Teddy Eagle Flag 09 Mar 23 9.10am Send a Private Message to Teddy Eagle Add Teddy Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

It was, but as a cohort they will recover.

Every generation has challenges. I was born during WW2 and my generation had the costs of that to cope with. We have done OK, haven't we?

Still seems excessive to call people who make an informed decision not to get vaccinated selfish whilst expecting the next generation to pay for lockdowns after having had their education severely interrupted and seeing the number of businesses which have closed and unknown future problems as an acceptable price to pay.

 

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View SW19 CPFC's Profile SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 09 Mar 23 5.11pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Two points about this post.

The idea that doctors know the long term affects of either covid or these vaccines on children is more than just a stretch: they don't and can't.

What is known is that for healthy children covid was never a life threatening virus though as stated long term nothing can be certain.

Personally I just don't understand how, that once the severity of this virus was known for children, people would vaccinate children...with the exception of those children known to be immune weak. Our medical board had to be told to pass this advice because they initially refused.

The second point: you may regard the spending of more money that this country spent on world war 2 on combating a virus that mainly threatened people over seventy at a 1 in 20 rate for death as justified at its very height......sure there are other effects but that's across the board and it seems that the vaccines don't make a difference on them anyway.

I think it's insane.

I want to push back against this idea that when a new virus turns up that we can just throw money at it and suffer no cost. Ultimately the fault for this virus doesn't reside here, with our government or even our mad policy makers, it resides with the Chinese and probably dubious mistakes the Americans made with funding.

My point is that this virus was always going to kill and harm people, the question was always how much money can effectively be spent combating it without causing more harm down the line. I stated this position at the time as many others did and more are doing today.

This country is now incredibly vulnerable economically. If something like the black death turned up now....something that actually killed 1 in 3 we would have no financial recourse because the insane have been running things.

The spending of all that money made very little difference to the outcomes. The excess deaths that are happening now are a direct consequence of the hubris of those who think that throwing money at something can suddenly control and change the effects of nature. Not when it comes to these kind of airborn viruses anyway.

God save us from the over confidence and hubris of control freaks with other people's money.


Edited by Stirlingsays (09 Mar 2023 5.28am)

Agree on children – have similar views on them having flu sprays fairly unnecessary. However I'd assumed in both cases the vaccine measures were brought in to reduce spread, rather than prevent serious illness.

I do find it hard to come to the same conclusion of 'we should just have sat on our hands and done nothing/spent nothing' as this would have given us the same result, and everyone would now be better off.

You'd have had an even steeper curve – even without lockdowns peoples care would still have been delayed... it's not like spending no money would have fixed everything. Think that's more than a bit of a stretch. Could less have been spent? Sure. Did people have the time to properly plan, consider and budget accordingly? No.

Playing the captain hindsight card isn't that useful as I really don't think things would have played out any differently if you ran it again.

However as before, that's not to say the way things went shouldn't have been/should be closely scrutinised. Those learnings should then be used to prepare and respond more efficiently and optimally next time around. Problem is we're not very good at long term thinking/preparation as a species. Just look at the markets. We love a bit of recency bias.

Also on the control nature bit... with respect we use medicine to do that on a daily basis. We do it with flu. We did it with COVID. That's a fact. So I disagree there again on the 'do nothing as it's the same result anyway'. Demonstrably incorrect.

Also on the WW2 vs COVID spend point... Wasn't our (British) estimated spend/impact about 21bn by 1945? That's about 1.1trn in todays money. I believe that's about three times the current estimated cost of COVID.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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View SW19 CPFC's Profile SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 09 Mar 23 5.15pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Still seems excessive to call people who make an informed decision not to get vaccinated selfish whilst expecting the next generation to pay for lockdowns after having had their education severely interrupted and seeing the number of businesses which have closed and unknown future problems as an acceptable price to pay.

I'm still not clear on what's being said here. Are you saying that there should have been no cost or impact as a result of COVID? Because that's how it comes across... as though there should have been no impact at all.

Maybe you mean it would have been better if the cost/impact had been less, sure, don't think anyone can disagree with that. But 'we' and future generations would still have negative impacts do deal with even if we'd managed to spend half the amount we did.

Also on the selfish point... at the time I viewed people deciding not to have the vaccine and then going on to freely mix with anyone and everyone of all ages with joyful abandon and no care, selfish. I still stand by that. There was also a correlation between the people I knew that didn't want to be vaccinated also being deadly anti-rules, therefore more likely to be the ones spreading it around. So yeah I thought that was fair then and I stand by that. Should they have been demonised? No. Should they have been open to criticism? Sure. Free speech and all that. Works both ways.

I view it as no different from calling someone who decides not to have a flu jab in a bad flu season selfish... ultimately it's their choice but it increases the risk of others getting infected.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (09 Mar 2023 5.23pm)

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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View SW19 CPFC's Profile SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 09 Mar 23 5.31pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by eaglesdare

If you read properly you would see there is numerous dangerous side effects! Mostly mild yes! But there is dangerous ones! Are you saying a blood clot is not dangerous? If you had a blood clot would you go to hospital or just sit there and be like "oh this mild I will be fine"?

Maybe 1 in a million gets very bad side effects. 1 in a million is not that much in the world population. I simply do not consent or want to take the chance somthing that could seriously affect my health.

Only person being selfish and full of BS is yourself. You litterally have no Comeback other than you are talking bs.....

Edited by eaglesdare (08 Mar 2023 3.18pm)

'Paracetamol is known to cause liver failure in overdose, but it also causes liver failure in people taking standard doses for pain relief. The risk is only about one in a million, but it is a risk.'

etc.

You can't live your life like Chicken Little

edit – 'Can't' isn't fair. Of course you can. It's just a bit silly and unnecessarily irrational.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (09 Mar 2023 5.33pm)

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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