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April 29 2024 8.39pm

Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

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deleted 25 Flag 22 Jul 22 7.39am

 

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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 22 Jul 22 7.39am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by Forest Hillbilly

It is unfortunate now we are finding how reliant the West is on Russia. for oil, gas, grain. As for Russia's military, I think that has been somewhat exposed. But then again, who can trust media.? The UK was a gnats whisker away from losing the Falklands battle, but that was only realised by the British public many decades later.
Being selfish, my take home pay has fallen and the cost of living is insanely high. Was that the Ukraine war ? Brexit ? Covid ? or just really stupid fiscal policy from the Government ?

Edited by Forest Hillbilly (22 Jul 2022 6.50am)

It may have been a shock for our politicians but I suspect the rest of the country has been aware for a very long time that we rely on our energy from disgusting regimes.

It's shameful they did nothing about it.

 


One more point

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deleted 25 Flag 22 Jul 22 8.09am

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Online Flag 22 Jul 22 6.11pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Beanyboysmd

I remember when I was younger and Russia collapsed seemingly overnight. Everyone in the west was in total shock. We were al told that Russia were this vast, all powerful efficient nation, so much so that some people in the west asked serious questions on whether or not we should try some Russian ideology ourselves...So how did it all go wrong? What happened?

It turned out that the USSR was thoroughly rotton, from the top down. A bloated pile of corruption and inefficiency but every level of society giving the impression of strength. It wasnt just the emperor with no clothes, it was everyone. We could not believe how badly we had fallen for the USSR's "Big tough nation" routine. Its actually laughable now we have enough information to piece it all together.

I was kind of hoping to get away with a 'we don't agree', but seeing as you asked and you're normally reasonable I'll dutifully respond to your request.

To answer this point, when we look back at why the Soviet Union collapsed it can't really be reduced into paragraphs but I'll give a snapshot. While I'd agree with you that there were many many problems inherent within the Soviet empire it's also true that there would have been no collapse without the election of Gorbachev.

He was always a reformer and let it not be forgotten that he was nearly overthrown by a coup and never intended to break up the empire...events ran away from him.

My point is that militarily the Soviets were just as powerful and that they could have continued going just as they had done so previously.

Originally posted by Beanyboysmd

And thats what makes me so angry about us doing it again. We have spent the last 20 years nervously watching Russia, worried about waking "The great bear", and once again we have found out that its just a corrupt, tatty little nation with so many corners cut that the west have managed to grind this invasion down to a draw by giving Ukraine a bunch of redundant soviet weapons and a couple of decent missile launchers. The Russian economy was a total shambles, propped up by huge oil economy, their allies have seen them for the weak nation they are and have refused to help. China and Japan are seriously looking at some "old disputed territory". Russia just this week had to claim to their people that Ukraine have genetically modified soldiers to explain why they didn't just sweep through the country in the first week. They have given several nations with a long history of neutrality no choice but to join Nato.

The invasion isn't a draw, the Russians are winning and can continue for another year at least. Their soviet union shell stockpiles alone allow that.

I'm not sure where you are getting this idea that their BRICS allies aren't helping them. Both China and India are now buying their oil and they have made deals with other G20 countries....With countries like Turkey and the Saudis playing both sides.

The 'genetically modified soldiers' story is taking one comment and inferring a whole heap of poor assumptions from it. The Russia media omits, distorts and lies just as the western media omits, distorts and lies.

Originally posted by Beanyboysmd

When this is over we must never fall for this nonsense again, no more "strong Russian nation" no more "strong Russian leader" and no more "strong Russian military". Russia has ruined itself again, I dont know what the consequences are going to be, but I do think the Russian border will change over the next few years, but it wont be its border with Ukraine...

I think you believe that the Ukraine goes back to at least its February 24th border. On that we completely disagree and we should both comment once the war concludes to see who was correct on that.

I don't see the west putting up with the economic price of a winter under the added inflationary and energy consequences of fighting this war.

My take is that this war ends with Russia, as with China being in a stronger economic position than where it began. They will have the Donbas at the very least and that is a extremely rich area for both oil and wheat.

I think peace terms should have been made in March, when it was possible.

As for the military....Russia has a nuclear stockpile that ensures that any physical invasion is suicide. Nato has given over much of its stockpiles in important areas and seen them wasted....I doubt the Ukraine will ever replay the printed debt money that has been given to it.....more strain for future generations to pay off for the egos of our, here today gone tomorrow, politicians.

Edited by Stirlingsays (22 Jul 2022 6.20pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View DANGERCLOSE's Profile DANGERCLOSE Flag london 23 Jul 22 9.09am Send a Private Message to DANGERCLOSE Add DANGERCLOSE as a friend

Worth a read

[Link]

 

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View PalazioVecchio's Profile PalazioVecchio Flag south pole 23 Jul 22 4.12pm Send a Private Message to PalazioVecchio Add PalazioVecchio as a friend

the video at the top is good for a laugh....

 


Eze Peasy at Anfield....

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Online Flag 23 Jul 22 6.01pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Battlefield update:

[Link]

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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deleted 25 Flag 23 Jul 22 7.31pm

[Link]

Non Utube update for those that prefer to read

 

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deleted 25 Flag 27 Jul 22 7.28am

Kherson in the south looks like the first place that will be liberated within the next month.

Russia continues to bomb primarily civilian areas but that won’t stop them or break their resolve

Germany seem to have turned a corner. Nobody likes being held to ransom

 

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View beak's Profile beak Flag croydon 27 Jul 22 7.53am Send a Private Message to beak Add beak as a friend

It is becoming increasingly clear that the West are providing Ukraine with just about enough military hardware to " hold their own " and not much more, they seem to be worried that if Ukraine were given far more they could drive the Russians back and Russia would retaliate with nuclear weapons, So, we have a long term stalemate,the sanctions would in time operate like a slow motion Boa Constrictor.The biggest worry is that the West overtime would lose interest in the Ukrainian situation and they would be left to rot.It is without doubt that a successful Putin would push on into other countries and areas such as Transnistria in Moldova.

Edited by beak (27 Jul 2022 5.11pm)

 

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deleted 25 Flag 27 Jul 22 9.15am

Originally posted by beak

It is becoming increasingly clear that the West are providing Ukraine with just about enough military hardware to " hold their own " and not much more, they seem to be worried that if Ukraine were given far more they could drive the Russians back and Russia would retaliate with nuclear weapons, So, we have a long term stalemate,the sanctions would in time operate like a slow motion Boa Constrictor.The biggest worry is that the West overtime would lose interest in the Ukrainian situation and they would be left to rot.It is without dobt that a successful Putin would push on into other countries and areas such as Transnistria in Moldova.

I think weaponising gas and grain will backfire. Russia uses nuclear as a threat to blackmail, would suit nobodies interest to use them. Putin controls the media back home so all he has to do is say we denazified Ukr and claim it as a victory and go home

[Link]


But yes Ukr need more weapons and they are asking for them, and to come quicker as they don’t want a possible stalemate.

Germany seem to be finally getting on board which could be significant. They are not happy about rationed gas and guess they probably now see Ukr victory as favourable outcome

Edited by Vincehair (27 Jul 2022 9.20am)

 

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View beak's Profile beak Flag croydon 27 Jul 22 10.45am Send a Private Message to beak Add beak as a friend

Originally posted by Vincehair

I think weaponising gas and grain will backfire. Russia uses nuclear as a threat to blackmail, would suit nobodies interest to use them. Putin controls the media back home so all he has to do is say we denazified Ukr and claim it as a victory and go home

[Link]


But yes Ukr need more weapons and they are asking for them, and to come quicker as they don’t want a possible stalemate.

Germany seem to be finally getting on board which could be significant. They are not happy about rationed gas and guess they probably now see Ukr victory as favourable outcome

Edited by Vincehair (27 Jul 2022 9.20am)


It would probably suit Putin rather than a defeat which would mean regime change and his life!

 

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